AO

AC Oulu

Veikkausliiga - Finland·Raatti Stadium

Next match AC Oulu v VPS Vaasa Wed 28 Oct, 16:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for AC Oulu — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming29 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

94.6%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

8th

of 12 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

29

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Wed 28 Oct16:00 VPS Vaasa H — 2.50Grosvenor — Sun 1 Nov13:00 KuPS Kuopio H — 3.80Casumo —

Form

last 6

WWLWLL 9 pts from 6

A Gnistan 4–3 +1.8

A Inter Turku 2–1 +2.1

H HJK Helsinki 3–4 -0.8

A KuPS 1–0 +2.3

H Inter Turku 0–1 -1.3

H Gnistan 1–2 -1.5

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (29 matches) Model expected (13 priced) Ahead Behind

+29.9 points against the model's expectation over the 13 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 10 #3 of 13

Points over model expectation 29.9 #4 of 12

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.24 #6 of 13

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.28 #8 of 13

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 10 #3 of 13

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

45%

Scored before half time

of 11 goals

45%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 11 goals

9%

From the penalty spot

of 11 goals

21%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 14 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 29 stored fixtures (25 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

VF Veikkausliiga - Finland 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct16:00in 37h 31m
   AC Oulu VPS Vaasa

   VF

   Championship Group - 30
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov13:00in 5d
   AC Oulu KuPS Kuopio

   VF

   Championship Group - 31
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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