SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Al Diriyah
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Al Diriyah

Pro League
Next match Al-Faisaly v Al Diriyah Thu 5 Nov, 17:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Al Diriyah — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming12 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
13th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
12
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Thu 5 Nov17:00 Al-Faisaly FC crest Al-Faisaly FC A — no price —

Form

last 6
LLWDLD 5 pts from 6
H NEOM 1–2 -0.5
A Al-Ittihad FC 0–2 -1.2
H Al Riyadh 1–0 +1.5
H Al Taawon 1–1 -0.5
A Al-Nassr 0–3 -1.5
H Abha 0–0 -0.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (12 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 12 matches 0 8 15
+5.1 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Clean sheets 4 #4 of 18
Goals conceded 1.08 #6 of 18
Weaknesses
Goals scored 0.83 #15 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 0.83 #15 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.08 #6 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 4 #4 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
50%
Scored before half time
of 10 goals
30%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 10 goals
30%
From the penalty spot
of 10 goals
17%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 12 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures (22 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
PL Pro League 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No league table for this tie Pro League is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Recorded form LLLLWW last 12: 0.5 scored / 1.33 conceded per game · Over 2.5 33% · BTTS 33% · clean sheets 33% (24 results held)
H NEOM 1-2 L · H Neom 1-2 L · A Al-Ittihad FC 0-2 L · A Al-Ittihad 0-2 L · H Al Riyadh 1-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Thu 5 Nov17:00in 4d
    Al-Faisaly FC crestAl-Faisaly Al Diriyah crestAl Diriyah
    PL
    Regular Season - 13
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

Pro League Next: Al-Faisaly FC v Al Diriyah Search Al Diriyah matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Al Diriyah play next?
Al Diriyah's next fixture in the snapshot is Al-Faisaly FC v Al Diriyah on Thu 5 Nov, 17:00 UK time (Pro League).