Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Al-Fateh — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming6 Results held
Model Strength
59.8
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.2%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
6th
of 15 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
6
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
GrosvenorForm
last 6LDDDLL
3 pts from 6
H
Al Diriyah
1–2
-1.2
A
Al Taawon
0–0
-0.7
H
Al-Ittihad FC
0–0
—
A
Al-Faisaly FC
1–1
—
H
Al-Ettifaq
0–1
-1.5
A
Al-Nassr
0–3
—
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (6 matches)
Model expected (5 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-1.5 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Clean sheets
2
#14 of 18
Points over model expectation
-1.5
#13 of 15
Goals scored
0.33
#18 of 18
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
0.33
#18 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.17
#9 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
2
#14 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed100%
Scored before half time
of 2 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 2 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 2 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 6 stored fixtures
(5 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
SPL
No league table for this tie
Saudi Pro League is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely
Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City gazetteer
Recorded form
LLDDDD
last 12: 0.3 scored / 1.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 30% · clean sheets 30% (10 results held)
H Al Diriyah 1-2 L · H Diriyah Club 1-2 L · A Al Taawon 0-0 D · A Al-Taawoun 0-0 D · H Al-Ittihad FC 0-0 D
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sun 13 Sept17:20in 44h 35mnot modelledmodel building—
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Al-Fateh play next?
Al-Fateh's next fixture in the snapshot is Neom v Al-Fateh on Sun 13 Sept, 17:20 UK time (Saudi Pro League).