Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Al-Fateh — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
59.8
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.1%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
7th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
William HillForm
last 6LLWLLL
3 pts from 6
H
Al Shabab
1–3
-1.1
H
Al Khaleej Saihat
2–3
-0.9
A
Al-Hazm
3–2
+1.5
H
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–4
-0.9
A
NEOM
2–4
-1.4
H
Al Diriyah
1–2
-1.2
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches)
Model expected (10 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-4.4 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Goals scored
0.91
#15 of 18
Clean sheets
2
#16 of 18
Points over model expectation
-4.4
#16 of 18
Goals conceded
2.09
#17 of 18
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
0.91
#15 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
2.09
#17 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
2
#16 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed60%
Scored before half time
of 10 goals
20%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 10 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 10 goals
26%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 19 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures
(29 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
SPL
No league table for this tie
Saudi Pro League is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely
Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City gazetteer
Recorded form
LLLWWL
last 12: 1.25 scored / 2.42 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 17% (18 results held)
H Al Shabab 1-3 L · H Al Khaleej Saihat 2-3 L · H Al-Khaleej 2-3 L · A Al-Hazm 3-2 W · A Al-Hazem 3-2 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 31 Oct18:00in 5dnot modelledmodel building—
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Al-Fateh play next?
Al-Fateh's next fixture in the snapshot is Al-Hilal v Al-Fateh on Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 UK time (Saudi Pro League).