Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Al-Hilal Saudi FC — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 1 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.7%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
5th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Form
last 6WWWWWL
15 pts from 6
H
Al-Fateh
2–0
+0.6
A
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3–2
+1.1
H
Al-Hazm
1–0
+0.9
H
Al-Ittihad FC
3–2
+1.8
A
Al Taawon
6–0
+1.6
H
NEOM
0–2
-1.0
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches)
Model expected (8 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+17.1 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
2.91
#1 of 18
Goals conceded
0.82
#1 of 18
Clean sheets
6
#1 of 18
Points over model expectation
17.1
#1 of 18
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
2.91
#1 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.82
#1 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
6
#1 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed58%
Scored before half time
of 26 goals
27%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 26 goals
8%
From the penalty spot
of 26 goals
29%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 7 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures
(33 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
PL
No league table for this tie
Pro League is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely
Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Juba Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form
WWLWWW
last 12: 2.42 scored / 1 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 50% (28 results held)
H Al-Fateh 2-0 W · H Al-Fateh 2-0 W · A Al Shamal 1-3 L · A Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-2 W · A Al-Qadsiah 3-2 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Thu 5 Nov17:00in 4dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Gabriel Martinelli | from Arsenal | Transfer | 2026-09-02 |
| IN | Gabriel Martinelli | from Arsenal | Transfer | 2026-09-01 |
| IN | O. Watkins | from Aston Villa | Transfer | 2026-08-29 |
| IN | O. Watkins | from Aston Villa | Transfer | 2026-08-28 |
| OUT | João Cancelo | to Barcelona | Free agent | 2026-08-19 |
| OUT | João Cancelo | to Barcelona | Free agent | 2026-08-18 |
| IN | João Cancelo | from Barcelona | Return from loan | 2026-06-29 |
| OUT | João Cancelo | to Barcelona | Loan | 2026-01-12 |
| IN | D. Núñez | from Liverpool | Transfer | 2025-08-08 |
| IN | João Cancelo | from Manchester City | € 25M | 2024-08-27 |
Team data: fresh · collected 1 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Al-Hilal Saudi FC play next?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC's next fixture in the snapshot is Al-Ettifaq v Al-Hilal Saudi FC on Thu 5 Nov, 17:00 UK time (Pro League).