SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Al-Riyadh
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Al-Riyadh

Saudi Pro LeaguePrince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Next match Al-Riyadh v Al-Qadsiah Thu 29 Oct, 18:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Al-Riyadh — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held
Model Strength
55
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
8th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
10
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Thu 29 Oct18:00 Al-Qadsiah crest Al-Qadsiah H — 8.50Betfred —

Form

last 6
WLDWDL 8 pts from 6
H Al Taawon 2–1 +1.9
A Al Diriyah 0–1 -1.2
A Al-Fayha 1–1 -0.5
H Al Kholood 2–0 +1.8
A Al Khaleej Saihat 0–0 -0.7
A Al-Ahli Jeddah 0–5 -1.7
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 10 matches 0 6 12
+2.0 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Goals conceded 1.9 #15 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.1 #10 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.9 #15 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 3 #10 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
33%
Scored before half time
of 9 goals
33%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 9 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 9 goals
27%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 11 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (20 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
SPL Saudi Pro League 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No league table for this tie Saudi Pro League is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form WWLLDW last 12: 0.92 scored / 1.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 33% · clean sheets 33% (16 results held)
H Al Taawon 2-1 W · H Al-Taawoun 2-1 W · A Al Diriyah 0-1 L · A Diriyah Club 0-1 L · A Al-Fayha 1-1 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Thu 29 Oct18:00in 3d
    Al-Riyadh crestAl-Riyadh Al-Qadsiah crestAl-Qadsiah
    SPL
    Regular Season - 12
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 1 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN Vincent Angelini from Brentford Free 2024-09-03
Team data: fresh · collected 19 h ago

Explore

Saudi Pro League Next: Al-Riyadh v Al-Qadsiah Search Al-Riyadh matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Al-Riyadh play next?
Al-Riyadh's next fixture in the snapshot is Al-Riyadh v Al-Qadsiah on Thu 29 Oct, 18:00 UK time (Saudi Pro League).