A

Al-Shabab

Saudi Pro League·Al-Ahmadi Stadium

Next match Al-Shabab v Al-Ahli Fri 30 Oct, 18:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Al-Shabab — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming10 Results held

Model Strength

60

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

93.8%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

12th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

10

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Fri 30 Oct18:00 Al-Ahli H — 3.50Grosvenor —

Form

last 6

WDWDLL 8 pts from 6

A Al-Fateh 3–1 +1.4

H Al-Faisaly FC 2–2 -0.3

H Al Taawon 3–0 +1.7

H Al-Fayha 0–0 -0.3

A Al Kholood 1–2 -1.5

H Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0–2 -1.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind

+1.8 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Nothing ranks yet

a strength is a rank against the rest of the competition, and this club's stored fixtures do not yet support one on any quantity

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.4 #8 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.4 #8 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 3 #9 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

69%

Scored before half time

of 13 goals

15%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 13 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 13 goals

36%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 11 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (24 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SPL Saudi Pro League 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No league table for this tie Saudi Pro League is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Fri 30 Oct18:00in 4d
   Al-Shabab Al-Ahli

   SPL
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Fri 30 Oct18:00in 4d
   Al Shabab Al-Ahli Jeddah

   PL

   Regular Season - 12
   not modelled
   model building
   —

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