Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Albacete — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
66
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.1%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
14th
of 22 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held
Next fixtures
1 pricedForm
last 6WLLLLL
3 pts from 6
H
Eldense
2–0
+1.5
A
Sporting Gijon
1–2
-1.3
A
Valladolid
0–5
-1.4
H
Eibar
1–3
-1.3
A
Girona
0–2
-1.5
H
Cordoba
1–2
-1.5
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches)
Model expected (11 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-9.3 points against the model's expectation over the 11 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Goals conceded
2
#20 of 22
Clean sheets
1
#20 of 22
Goals scored
0.73
#21 of 22
Points over model expectation
-9.3
#22 of 22
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
0.73
#21 of 22
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
2
#20 of 22
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
1
#20 of 22
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed57%
Scored before half time
of 7 goals
29%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 7 goals
14%
From the penalty spot
of 7 goals
12%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 17 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures
(24 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form
WLLLLL
last 12: 0.67 scored / 2.25 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 8% (40 results held)
H Eldense 2-0 W · A Sporting Gijon 1-2 L · A Valladolid 0-5 L · A Real Valladolid CF 0-5 L · H Eibar 1-3 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 31 Oct20:00in 5dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | Cristian Rivero | to Valencia | Back from Loan | 2025-07-01 |
| OUT | Javi Martón | to Athletic Club | Back from Loan | 2025-07-01 |
| OUT | Javi Martón | to Athletic Club | Return from loan | 2025-06-29 |
| IN | Javi Martón | from Athletic Club | Loan | 2025-02-03 |
| IN | Cristian Rivero | from Valencia | Loan | 2024-07-05 |
| IN | Jon Morcillo | from Athletic Club | Free | 2024-07-02 |
| IN | Javi Jiménez | from Valencia | 2021-07-01 | |
| IN | Cedric Teguia | from Atletico Madrid | Loan | 2021-02-02 |
| IN | Javi Jiménez | from Valencia | Loan | 2020-08-13 |
| IN | B. Tabla | from Barcelona | Loan | 2019-01-31 |
Team data: fresh · collected 18 h ago
Graded calls — from the public ledger
| Posted | Match | Selection | Posted → close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Girona FC v Albacete | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.66 → 1.71 | -2.9% | ✕ LOSS |
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Albacete play next?
Albacete's next fixture in the snapshot is Albacete v Sabadell FC on Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UK time (La Liga 2 - Spain).
