Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Albacete — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
66
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.1%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
14th
of 22 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
WLLLLL 3 pts from 6
H Eldense 2–0 +1.5
A Sporting Gijon 1–2 -1.3
A Valladolid 0–5 -1.4
H Eibar 1–3 -1.3
A Girona 0–2 -1.5
H Cordoba 1–2 -1.5
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches) Model expected (11 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 11 matches 0 7 13
-9.3 points against the model's expectation over the 11 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Goals conceded 2 #20 of 22
Clean sheets 1 #20 of 22
Goals scored 0.73 #21 of 22
Points over model expectation -9.3 #22 of 22

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 0.73 #21 of 22
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 2 #20 of 22
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #20 of 22

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
57%
Scored before half time
of 7 goals
29%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 7 goals
14%
From the penalty spot
of 7 goals
12%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 17 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures (24 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
LAL La Liga 2 - Spain 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form WLLLLL last 12: 0.67 scored / 2.25 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 8% (40 results held)
H Eldense 2-0 W · A Sporting Gijon 1-2 L · A Valladolid 0-5 L · A Real Valladolid CF 0-5 L · H Eibar 1-3 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 31 Oct20:00in 5d
    Albacete crestAlbacete Sabadell FC crestSabadell
    Regular Season - 12
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT Cristian Rivero to Valencia Back from Loan 2025-07-01
OUT Javi Martón to Athletic Club Back from Loan 2025-07-01
OUT Javi Martón to Athletic Club Return from loan 2025-06-29
IN Javi Martón from Athletic Club Loan 2025-02-03
IN Cristian Rivero from Valencia Loan 2024-07-05
IN Jon Morcillo from Athletic Club Free 2024-07-02
IN Javi Jiménez from Valencia 2021-07-01
IN Cedric Teguia from Atletico Madrid Loan 2021-02-02
IN Javi Jiménez from Valencia Loan 2020-08-13
IN B. Tabla from Barcelona Loan 2019-01-31
Team data: fresh · collected 18 h ago

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-09-25 Girona FC v Albacete Over 2.5 Goals 1.66 → 1.71 -2.9% ✕ LOSS
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.

Explore

La Liga 2 - Spain Next: Albacete v Sabadell FC Search Albacete matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Albacete play next?
Albacete's next fixture in the snapshot is Albacete v Sabadell FC on Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UK time (La Liga 2 - Spain).