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Alemannia Aachen

3. Liga - GermanyNew Tivoli
Next match Alemannia Aachen v SC Preußen Münster Sun 1 Nov, 18:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Alemannia Aachen — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
93.3%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
9th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sun 1 Nov18:30 SC Preußen Münster crest SC Preußen Münster H — 1.83888sport —

Form

last 6
WWLLWL 9 pts from 6
A Stuttgart II 2–1 +2.2
H Hansa Rostock 2–0 +1.7
A SV Wehen 0–3 -1.3
H FC Viktoria Köln 2–5 -1.4
H Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–0 +1.5
A Würzburger Kickers 0–1 -1.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 11 matches 0 9 17
+4.7 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Clean sheets 3 #5 of 20
Points over model expectation 4.7 #6 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.55 #12 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.55 #9 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 3 #5 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
83%
Scored before half time
of 12 goals
8%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 12 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 12 goals
7%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 15 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures (27 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
3LG 3. Liga - Germany 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No league table for this tie 3. Liga - Germany is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: New Tivoli gazetteer
Recorded form WWWLLL last 12: 1.33 scored / 2.17 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 17% (21 results held)
A Stuttgart II 2-1 W · A VfB Stuttgart II 2-1 W · H Hansa Rostock 2-0 W · A SV Wehen 0-3 L · A Wehen Wiesbaden 0-3 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 1 Nov18:30in 6d
    Alemannia Aachen crestAlemannia Aachen SC Preußen Münster crestSC Preußen Münster
    3LG
    Regular Season - 12
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

3. Liga - Germany Next: Alemannia Aachen v SC Preußen Münster Search Alemannia Aachen matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Alemannia Aachen play next?
Alemannia Aachen's next fixture in the snapshot is Alemannia Aachen v SC Preußen Münster on Sun 1 Nov, 18:30 UK time (3. Liga - Germany).