Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Arminia Bielefeld — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming9 Results held
Model Strength
57.4
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.1%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
15th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
9
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
LWWDLD 8 pts from 6
A Hertha BSC 0–1 -1.2
H VfL Osnabrück 2–1 +1.6
A VfL Bochum 1–0 +1.7
H 1. FC Heidenheim 2–2 -0.5
A SV Darmstadt 98 1–2 -1.1
H FC St. Pauli 2–2 -0.6
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (9 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 9 matches 0 6 11
+0.0 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Nothing ranks yet
a strength is a rank against the rest of the competition, and this club's stored fixtures do not yet support one on any quantity

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.44 #9 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.56 #8 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 2 #9 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
33%
Scored before half time
of 9 goals
33%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 9 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 9 goals
17%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 12 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures (21 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
BUN Bundesliga 2 - Germany 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Bielefelder Alm gazetteer
Recorded form LLWWDD last 12: 1.42 scored / 1.58 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 17% (17 results held)
A Hertha BSC 0-1 L · A Hertha Berlin 0-1 L · H VfL Osnabrück 2-1 W · A VfL Bochum 1-0 W · H Rot-Weiß Essen 2-2 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Fri 30 Oct17:30in 4d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 3 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN M. Mehlem from Hull City Transfer 2025-07-07
OUT S. Ortega to Manchester City Free 2022-07-01
IN K. Kerschbaumer from Brentford Loan 2017-07-01
Team data: fresh · collected 19 h ago

Explore

Bundesliga 2 - Germany Next: Arminia Bielefeld v Eintracht Braunschweig Search Arminia Bielefeld matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Arminia Bielefeld play next?
Arminia Bielefeld's next fixture in the snapshot is Arminia Bielefeld v Eintracht Braunschweig on Fri 30 Oct, 17:30 UK time (Bundesliga 2 - Germany).