AC

Athletic Club

Serie B·San Mamés

Next match Athletic Club v Ceara Mon 2 Nov, 21:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Athletic Club — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming35 Results held

Model Strength

60

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

7th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

35

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Mon 2 Nov21:00 Ceara H — no price —

Form

last 6

LDDLLD 3 pts from 6

A Operario-PR 0–1 -0.7

A Avai 0–0 0.0

H Londrina 2–2 -1.3

A Goias 1–2 -0.7

H Sport Recife 1–2 -2.0

A Fortaleza EC 2–2 +0.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (35 matches) Model expected (17 priced) Ahead Behind

+21.1 points against the model's expectation over the 17 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Points over model expectation 21.1 #15 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.14 #11 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.14 #11 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 9 #10 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

44%

Scored before half time

of 18 goals

22%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 18 goals

17%

From the penalty spot

of 18 goals

24%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 21 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 35 stored fixtures (39 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

SB Serie B 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Mon 2 Nov21:00in 7d
   Athletic Club Ceara

   SB

   Regular Season - 36
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Season statistics (stored · 2026)

Squad (stored · 2026 · 31 players)

Player	Age	No.
Goalkeepers (3)
UUnai Simón	28	1
MMikel Santos	21	13
ÁÁlex Padilla	22	13
Defenders (11)
DDani Vivian	26	3
AAitor Paredes	25	4
IIker Monreal	20	5
YYeray	30	5
JJesús Areso	26	12
UUnai Eguíluz	23	13
AAymeric Laporte	31	14
HHugo Rincón	22	15
YYuri	35	17
AAlejandro Rego	22	20
JJ. Louis-Jean	21	31
Midfielders (8)
BBeñat Prados	24	6
OOihan Sancet	25	8
RRuíz de Galarreta	32	16
SS. Sanchez	18	16
MMikel Jauregizar	22	18
RRobert Navarro	23	23
BBeñat Gerenabarrena	22	24
PPeio Canales	20	28
Forwards (9)
AAsier Hierro	20	7
ÁÁlex Berenguer	30	7
II. Williams	31	9
NNico Williams	23	10
GGorka Guruzeta	29	11
MMaroan Sannadi	24	21
NNico Serrano	22	22
ÁÁlvaro Djaló	26	25
CC. Mitogo	17	33

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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