AG

Atletico Goianiense

Brazil Série B·Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Next match Atletico Goianiense v Criciuma Sun 13 Sept, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Atletico Goianiense — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming27 Results held

Model Strength

60

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

3rd

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

27

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sun 13 Sept20:00 Criciuma H — 2.32Casumo — Sat 19 Sept01:00 São Bernardo A — no price —

Form

last 6

WDWWDL 11 pts from 6

H Ceara 2–1 +1.0

A Juventude 2–2 -0.1

A Avai 1–0 —

H Botafogo SP 3–0 +1.6

A Londrina 0–0 -0.7

H Vila Nova 0–2 -2.3

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (27 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind

+30.7 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 0.96 #7 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.19 #9 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.96 #7 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 9 #8 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

64%

Scored before half time

of 11 goals

36%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 11 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 11 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 4 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 27 stored fixtures (15 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 13 Sept20:00in 40h 01m
   Atletico Goianiense Criciuma

   BSB

   Regular Season - 28
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 19 Sept01:00in 7d
   São Bernardo Atletico Goianiense

   SB

   Regular Season - 29
   not modelled
   model building
   —

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