Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Boca Juniors — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming31 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
93.9%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
12th
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
31
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Betfair ExchangeForm
last 6WWDWWW
16 pts from 6
A
Independiente
1–0
+1.7
H
Talleres Cordoba
2–1
+1.1
A
Instituto Cordoba
2–2
-0.6
H
Union Santa Fe
3–0
+0.9
A
San Lorenzo
2–0
+1.7
H
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3–1
+0.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (31 matches)
Model expected (14 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+39.6 points against the model's expectation over the 14 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
1.48
#2 of 30
Goals conceded
0.84
#3 of 30
Clean sheets
14
#4 of 30
Points over model expectation
39.6
#4 of 30
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.48
#2 of 30
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.84
#3 of 30
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
14
#4 of 30
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed47%
Scored before half time
of 17 goals
24%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 17 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 17 goals
20%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 10 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 31 stored fixtures
(27 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
PDANo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Victoria Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form
WWWWLD
last 12: 2.08 scored / 0.92 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 25% (40 results held)
A Independiente 1-0 W · A Vasco DA Gama 3-1 W · H Talleres Cordoba 2-1 W · H Talleres 2-1 W · H Vasco DA Gama 0-1 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sun 1 Nov18:00in 4dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Ander Herrera | from Athletic Club | Transfer | 2025-01-17 |
| OUT | A. Anselmino | to Chelsea | Back from Loan | 2025-01-03 |
| IN | A. Anselmino | from Chelsea | Loan | 2024-08-09 |
| OUT | A. Anselmino | to Chelsea | € 16.5M | 2024-08-08 |
| OUT | V. Barco | to Brighton | € 9.2M | 2024-01-20 |
| IN | E. Cavani | from Valencia | Free | 2023-07-31 |
| IN | M. Rojo | from Manchester United | Free | 2021-02-02 |
| OUT | A. Mac Allister | to Brighton | 2020-02-01 | |
| IN | A. Mac Allister | from Brighton | Loan | 2019-07-03 |
| OUT | A. Werner | to Atletico Madrid | 2017-07-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago
Explore
Primera División - Argentina
Next: Boca Juniors v River Plate
Search Boca Juniors matches
Opportunity board
Frequently asked questions
When do Boca Juniors play next?
Boca Juniors's next fixture in the snapshot is Boca Juniors v River Plate on Sun 1 Nov, 18:00 UK time (Primera División - Argentina).