Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Boca Juniors — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
2 Upcoming8 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
93.9%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
23rd
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
8
Held
Next fixtures
3 pricedForm
last 6DWDDDW
10 pts from 6
A
Gimnasia M.
2–2
-0.7
H
Lanus
1–0
—
A
Racing Club
1–1
-0.2
A
Platense
1–1
-0.5
H
Velez Sarsfield
1–1
—
H
Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
—
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (8 matches)
Model expected (8 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+4.0 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Points over model expectation
4
#9 of 30
Weaknesses
Clean sheets
2
#21 of 30
Goals conceded
1.25
#22 of 30
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.13
#11 of 30
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.25
#22 of 30
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
2
#21 of 30
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed75%
Scored before half time
of 4 goals
25%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 4 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 4 goals
17%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 6 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures
(10 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Victoria Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form
WDDDWD
last 12: 1.92 scored / 0.75 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 42% (40 results held)
H Sao Paulo 1-0 W · A Gimnasia M. 2-2 D · A Gimnasia Mendoza 2-2 D · A Velez Sarsfield 0-0 D · H Lanus 1-0 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Wed 16 Sept01:30in 4dnot modelledmodel building—
-
Sun 20 Sept18:45in 9dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 9 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | A. Anselmino | to Chelsea | Back from Loan | 2025-01-03 |
| IN | A. Anselmino | from Chelsea | Loan | 2024-08-09 |
| OUT | A. Anselmino | to Chelsea | € 16.5M | 2024-08-08 |
| OUT | V. Barco | to Brighton | € 9.2M | 2024-01-20 |
| IN | M. Rojo | from Manchester United | Free | 2021-02-02 |
| OUT | A. Mac Allister | to Brighton | 2020-02-01 | |
| IN | A. Mac Allister | from Brighton | Loan | 2019-07-03 |
| IN | Mariano Raúl Echeverría | from Arsenal | Free | 2014-08-06 |
| IN | G. Paletta | from Liverpool | 2007-09-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected just now
Explore
Copa SudamericanaPrimera División - Argentina
Next: Sao Paulo v Boca Juniors
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Frequently asked questions
When do Boca Juniors play next?
Boca Juniors's next fixture in the snapshot is Sao Paulo v Boca Juniors on Wed 16 Sept, 01:30 UK time (Copa Sudamericana).
