Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Boca Juniors — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
74
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
Not enough data
this club has no priced fixtures in the stored competition
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Betfair ExchangeForm
last 5WWWLW
12 pts from 5
H
Sao Paulo
1–0
+1.1
A
Deportivo Recoleta
4–0
—
H
Deportivo Recoleta
3–1
—
A
O'Higgins
0–1
-1.0
H
O'Higgins
1–0
—
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches)
Model expected (4 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+9.1 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
1.8
#4 of 56
Goals conceded
0.4
#5 of 56
Clean sheets
3
#18 of 56
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.8
#4 of 56
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.4
#5 of 56
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
3
#18 of 56
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed0%
Scored before half time
of 1 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 1 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 1 goals
—
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 0 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures
(1 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No league table for this tie
Copa Sudamericana is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely
Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Victoria Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form
WWWDDD
last 12: 2.08 scored / 0.75 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 42% (40 results held)
H Central Cordoba de Santiago 3-1 W · H Central Córdoba 3-1 W · H Sao Paulo 1-0 W · A Gimnasia M. 2-2 D · A Gimnasia Mendoza 2-2 D
Upcoming fixtures
-
Wed 16 Sept01:30in 3dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 9 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | A. Anselmino | to Chelsea | Back from Loan | 2025-01-03 |
| IN | A. Anselmino | from Chelsea | Loan | 2024-08-09 |
| OUT | A. Anselmino | to Chelsea | € 16.5M | 2024-08-08 |
| OUT | V. Barco | to Brighton | € 9.2M | 2024-01-20 |
| IN | M. Rojo | from Manchester United | Free | 2021-02-02 |
| OUT | A. Mac Allister | to Brighton | 2020-02-01 | |
| IN | A. Mac Allister | from Brighton | Loan | 2019-07-03 |
| IN | Mariano Raúl Echeverría | from Arsenal | Free | 2014-08-06 |
| IN | G. Paletta | from Liverpool | 2007-09-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected just now
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Boca Juniors play next?
Boca Juniors's next fixture in the snapshot is Sao Paulo v Boca Juniors on Wed 16 Sept, 01:30 UK time (Copa Sudamericana).