BJ

Boca Juniors

Primera División - Argentina·Victoria Stadium

Next match Sao Paulo v Boca Juniors Wed 16 Sept, 01:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Boca Juniors — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

93.9%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

23rd

of 30 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Sat 12 Sept01:30 Central Córdoba H — 1.44Betfair Exchange — Wed 16 Sept01:30 Sao Paulo A — 3.55Betfair Exchange — Sun 20 Sept18:45 San Lorenzo A — 2.00Betfred —

Form

last 6

DWDDDW 10 pts from 6

A Gimnasia M. 2–2 -0.7

H Lanus 1–0 —

A Racing Club 1–1 -0.2

A Platense 1–1 -0.5

H Velez Sarsfield 1–1 —

H Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 —

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+4.0 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Points over model expectation 4 #9 of 30

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 2 #21 of 30

Goals conceded 1.25 #22 of 30

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.13 #11 of 30

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.25 #22 of 30

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 2 #21 of 30

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

75%

Scored before half time

of 4 goals

25%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 4 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 4 goals

17%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 6 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (10 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 16 Sept01:30in 4d
   Sao Paulo Boca Juniors

   CS

   Quarter-finals
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 20 Sept18:45in 9d
   San Lorenzo Boca Juniors

   PDA

   Clausura - 10
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 9 recorded)

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