SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Boulogne
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Boulogne

Stade de la Libération

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Boulogne — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

5 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 1 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.3%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
1st
of 17 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Fri 11 Sept19:00 Clermont crest Clermont A — 3.20Smarkets —

Form

last 5
DDDLD 4 pts from 5
H Dijon 1–1 -0.7
A Montpellier 0–0 +0.1
H RED Star FC 93 1–1 -0.3
A Guingamp 0–1 -1.2
H Nancy 0–0 -0.6
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 5 matches 0 3 7
-2.7 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals conceded 0.6 #2 of 18
Clean sheets 2 #4 of 18
Weaknesses
Goals scored 0.4 #17 of 18
Points over model expectation -2.7 #17 of 17

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 0.4 #17 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.6 #2 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 2 #4 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
100%
Scored before half time
of 1 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 1 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 1 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 2 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (3 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
Home ground: Stade de la Libération gazetteer
Recorded form DDDDLD last 12: 0.67 scored / 0.92 conceded per game · Over 2.5 8% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 33% (40 results held)
H Dijon 1-1 D · A Montpellier 0-0 D · H Red Star 1-1 D · H RED Star FC 93 1-1 D · A Guingamp 0-1 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. No upcoming fixtures in the current snapshot — the board refills as the engine sweeps the markets.

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