SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Cardiff
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Cardiff

Championship
Next match Cardiff v Burnley Sat 7 Nov, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Cardiff — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming13 Results held
Model Strength
62.8
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.8%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
19th
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
13
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 7 Nov15:00 Burnley crest Burnley H — no price —

Form

last 6
LWDWLW 10 pts from 6
A Wolves 0–3 -1.3
H Birmingham 1–0 +2.0
A Middlesbrough 2–2 +0.1
H Watford 5–1 +1.3
A Blackburn 1–2 -0.9
H Charlton 3–1 +1.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (13 matches) Model expected (13 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 13 matches 0 8 15
-1.0 points against the model's expectation over the 13 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Points over model expectation -1 #18 of 24
Clean sheets 1 #22 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.46 #13 of 24
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.54 #15 of 24
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #22 of 24

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
65%
Scored before half time
of 17 goals
12%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 17 goals
18%
From the penalty spot
of 17 goals
11%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 18 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 13 stored fixtures (35 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
EFL Championship 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form LLWWDD last 12: 2 scored / 1.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 17% (40 results held)
A Wolves 0-3 L · A Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-3 L · H Birmingham 1-0 W · H Birmingham City 1-0 W · A Middlesbrough 2-2 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 7 Nov15:00in 6d
    Cardiff crestCardiff Burnley crestBurnley
    EFL
    Regular Season - 15
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN C. Scanlon from Liverpool Loan 2026-08-14
OUT C. Scanlon to Liverpool Return from loan 2026-05-30
OUT O. Kellyman to Chelsea Return from loan 2026-05-30
IN C. Scanlon from Liverpool Loan 2026-01-31
IN H. Tyrer from Everton Transfer 2026-01-15
IN O. Kellyman from Chelsea Loan 2025-08-31
IN A. Robertson from Manchester City 2024-08-07
IN C. Chambers from Aston Villa Free 2024-07-14
OUT N. Phillips to Liverpool 2024-07-01
OUT J. Bowler to Nottingham Forest 2024-06-01
Team data: fresh · collected 2 h ago

Explore

Championship Next: Cardiff v Burnley Search Cardiff matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Cardiff play next?
Cardiff's next fixture in the snapshot is Cardiff v Burnley on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 UK time (Championship).