Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Cerezo Osaka — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming12 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.1%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
7th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
12
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
DDLDDL 4 pts from 6
H JEF United Chiba 2–2 -0.5
A Nagoya Grampus 1–1 -0.3
H Kawasaki Frontale 2–4 -1.2
H Yokohama F. Marinos 0–0 -0.3
A V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 -0.7
A Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–6 -1.0
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (12 matches) Model expected (12 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 12 matches 0 8 16
-2.4 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Clean sheets 4 #6 of 20
Weaknesses
Points over model expectation -2.4 #15 of 20
Goals scored 1 #16 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1 #16 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.58 #9 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 4 #6 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
22%
Scored before half time
of 9 goals
33%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 9 goals
33%
From the penalty spot
of 9 goals
13%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 15 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures (24 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
JL J League 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Yodoko Sakura Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form DDLWDW last 12: 1.42 scored / 1.92 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 33% (40 results held)
H JEF United Chiba 2-2 D · A Nagoya Grampus 1-1 D · H Kawasaki Frontale 2-4 L · A Gainare Tottori 3-2 W · H Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 31 Oct06:00in 4d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

J League Next: Kashima Antlers v Cerezo Osaka Search Cerezo Osaka matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Cerezo Osaka play next?
Cerezo Osaka's next fixture in the snapshot is Kashima Antlers v Cerezo Osaka on Sat 31 Oct, 06:00 UK time (J League).