Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Cerezo Osaka — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming6 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.8%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
6th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
6
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
DWLWLW 10 pts from 6
H Tokyo Verdy 0–0 -0.7
H Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 +1.4
A Vissel Kobe 0–1
H Shimizu S-pulse 1–0 +1.1
A Avispa Fukuoka 0–3 -1.5
H Fagiano Okayama 2–1 +1.2
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (6 matches) Model expected (6 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 6 matches 0 5 10
+1.6 points against the model's expectation over the 6 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals conceded 0.83 #2 of 20
Clean sheets 3 #3 of 20
Weaknesses
Goals scored 0.83 #17 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 0.83 #17 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.83 #2 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 3 #3 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
50%
Scored before half time
of 2 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 2 goals
50%
From the penalty spot
of 2 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 1 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 6 stored fixtures (3 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
JL J League 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Yodoko Sakura Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form DWLWWL last 12: 1.33 scored / 1.08 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 42% (40 results held)
H Tokyo Verdy 0-0 D · H Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 W · A Vissel Kobe 0-1 L · H FC Gifu 3-1 W · H Shimizu S-pulse 1-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 12 Sept11:00in 14h 15m
    not modelled
    model building

Explore

J League Next: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Cerezo Osaka Search Cerezo Osaka matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Cerezo Osaka play next?
Cerezo Osaka's next fixture in the snapshot is Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Cerezo Osaka on Sat 12 Sept, 11:00 UK time (J League).