SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Charleroi
Join free channel

Charleroi

Belgium First Div
Next match Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière Sun 1 Nov, 18:15

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Charleroi — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming9 Results held
Model Strength
62.4
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.2%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
2nd
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
9
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sun 1 Nov18:15 RAAL La Louvière crest RAAL La Louvière H — 1.48Coral —

Form

last 6
LWWWLW 12 pts from 6
A Antwerp 0–3 -1.9
A Standard Liege 1–0 +1.7
H Cercle Brugge 3–2 +1.6
A Zulte Waregem 1–0 +1.4
H Union St. Gilloise 2–3 -1.5
A Kortrijk 3–1 —
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (9 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 9 matches 0 11 21
+9.0 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals conceded 1.11 #4 of 18
Clean sheets 4 #4 of 18
Points over model expectation 9 #4 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.78 #7 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.11 #4 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 4 #4 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
64%
Scored before half time
of 11 goals
9%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 11 goals
9%
From the penalty spot
of 11 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 8 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures (19 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
BFD Belgium First Div 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form LLWWWW last 12: 1.58 scored / 1.42 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 42% (19 results held)
A Antwerp 0-3 L · A Royal Antwerp 0-3 L · A Albert Quévy-Mons 1-0 W · A Standard Liege 1-0 W · H Cercle Brugge 3-2 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 1 Nov18:15in 6d
    Charleroi crestCharleroi RAAL La Louvière crestRAAL La Louvière
    BFD
    Regular Season - 10
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 3 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN T. Rowe from Aston Villa Loan 2026-08-31
IN T. Rowe from Aston Villa Loan 2026-08-31
IN D. Henen from Everton Free 2018-09-01
Team data: fresh · collected 22 h ago

Explore

Belgium First Div Next: Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière Search Charleroi matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Charleroi play next?
Charleroi's next fixture in the snapshot is Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière on Sun 1 Nov, 18:15 UK time (Belgium First Div).