SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Charlton
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Charlton

Championship
Next match Charlton v Bolton Tue 3 Nov, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Charlton — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming12 Results held
Model Strength
60.8
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
97.3%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
23rd
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
12
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Tue 3 Nov19:45 Bolton crest Bolton H — no price —

Form

last 6
LLDDLD 3 pts from 6
H Norwich 1–3 -1.0
A Watford 0–2 -1.0
A Burnley 2–2 0.0
H Bristol City 1–1 -0.4
A Cardiff 1–3 -0.9
H Portsmouth 0–0 -0.5
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (12 matches) Model expected (11 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 12 matches 0 7 14
+2.4 points against the model's expectation over the 11 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Goals scored 0.92 #21 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 0.92 #21 of 24
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.5 #15 of 24
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 3 #11 of 24

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
38%
Scored before half time
of 8 goals
25%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 8 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 8 goals
7%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 15 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures (23 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
EFL Championship 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form LLLLDD last 12: 0.83 scored / 1.83 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 17% (40 results held)
H Norwich 1-3 L · H Norwich City 1-3 L · A Watford 0-2 L · A Watford 0-2 L · A Burnley 2-2 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Tue 3 Nov19:45in 7d
    Charlton crestCharlton Bolton crestBolton
    EFL
    Regular Season - 14
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN Tyler Bindon from Nottingham Forest Loan 2026-08-29
OUT H. Clarke to Ipswich Return from loan 2026-05-30
OUT L. Chambers to Liverpool Return from loan 2026-05-30
IN L. Chambers from Liverpool Loan 2026-01-20
IN H. Clarke from Ipswich Loan 2026-01-11
IN G. Docherty from Hull City Free 2024-07-05
IN G. Yahyai from Ipswich 1.2M 2024-07-04
IN M. Godden from Coventry 2024-07-03
OUT F. Ladapo to Ipswich 2024-07-01
IN F. Ladapo from Ipswich Loan 2024-01-19
Team data: fresh · collected 19 h ago

Explore

Championship Next: Charlton v Bolton Search Charlton matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Charlton play next?
Charlton's next fixture in the snapshot is Charlton v Bolton on Tue 3 Nov, 19:45 UK time (Championship).