SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Cruzeiro
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Cruzeiro

Brazil Série A
Next match Santos v Cruzeiro Sun 13 Sept, 01:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Cruzeiro — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming26 Results held
Model Strength
55
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
5th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
26
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sun 13 Sept01:00 Santos crest Santos A — 2.44Matchbook —

Form

last 6
WLWWWW 15 pts from 6
H Atletico Paranaense 3–1 +1.4
A Vasco DA Gama 1–3 -1.3
H Flamengo 2–1 +1.5
A Corinthians 2–1 +2.0
H Mirassol 3–1 +1.3
A Coritiba 1–0 +1.7
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (26 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 26 matches 0 21 42
+30.8 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Points over model expectation 30.8 #6 of 20
Goals scored 1.46 #7 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.46 #7 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.42 #13 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 5 #12 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
33%
Scored before half time
of 9 goals
44%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 9 goals
22%
From the penalty spot
of 9 goals
17%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 6 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 26 stored fixtures (15 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
BSA Brazil Série A 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form WWLLDW last 12: 1.58 scored / 1.42 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 100% · clean sheets 0% (40 results held)
H Atletico Paranaense 3-1 W · H CA Paranaense 3-1 W · A Atletico-MG 1-2 L · A Vasco DA Gama 1-3 L · H Atletico-MG 1-1 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 13 Sept01:00in 28h 09m
    Santos crestSantos Cruzeiro crestCruzeiro
    BSA
    Regular Season - 27
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 9 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN L. Sinisterra from Bournemouth Transfer 2026-06-30
OUT L. Sinisterra to Bournemouth Return from loan 2026-06-29
IN L. Sinisterra from Bournemouth Loan 2025-08-22
IN Marquinhos from Arsenal Transfer 2025-06-30
OUT Marquinhos to Arsenal Return from loan 2025-06-29
IN Marquinhos from Arsenal Transfer 2025-06-09
IN Marquinhos from Arsenal Loan 2025-01-09
IN Cláudio Caçapa from Newcastle 2009-08-01
OUT Marquinhos to Arsenal 1926-01-01
Team data: fresh · collected 4 h ago

Explore

Brazil Série A Next: Santos v Cruzeiro Search Cruzeiro matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Cruzeiro play next?
Cruzeiro's next fixture in the snapshot is Santos v Cruzeiro on Sun 13 Sept, 01:00 UK time (Brazil Série A).