SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Fagiano Okayama
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Fagiano Okayama

J LeagueKanko Stadium
Next match Fagiano Okayama v FC Tokyo Sat 31 Oct, 05:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Fagiano Okayama — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming12 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 2 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.3%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
14th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
12
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 31 Oct05:00 FC Tokyo crest FC Tokyo H — 3.50Unibet —

Form

last 6
LWLLLW 6 pts from 6
A Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 -0.7
H Mito Hollyhock 2–0 +1.8
H Vissel Kobe 0–3 -1.2
A Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 -1.2
H Kyoto Sanga 1–2 -1.8
A Urawa 2–1 +1.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (12 matches) Model expected (12 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 12 matches 0 8 16
+2.8 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals conceded 1.42 #6 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.25 #10 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.42 #6 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 3 #8 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
46%
Scored before half time
of 13 goals
23%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 13 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 13 goals
20%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 15 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures (28 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
JL J League 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Kanko Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form LWLDLW last 12: 1.58 scored / 1.58 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 75% · clean sheets 17% (24 results held)
A Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 L · H Mito Hollyhock 2-0 W · H Vissel Kobe 0-3 L · A Nagoya Grampus 3-3 D · A Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 31 Oct05:00in 4d
    Fagiano Okayama crestFagiano Okayama FC Tokyo crestFC Tokyo
    JL
    Regular Season - 13
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

J League Next: Fagiano Okayama v FC Tokyo Search Fagiano Okayama matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Fagiano Okayama play next?
Fagiano Okayama's next fixture in the snapshot is Fagiano Okayama v FC Tokyo on Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 UK time (J League).