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Falkenbergs FF

SuperettanFalcon Alkoholfri Arena
Next match Falkenbergs FF v Sandviken Sat 31 Oct, 16:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Falkenbergs FF — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming28 Results held
Model Strength
60
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.6%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
13th
of 16 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
28
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 31 Oct16:00 Sandviken crest Sandviken H — no price —

Form

last 6
LWWDWW 13 pts from 6
A Orebro SK 0–1 -1.1
H Landskrona BoIS 4–3 +1.7
A IFK Varnamo 2–1 +2.1
H Ostersunds FK 0–0 -0.3
A Ljungskile SK 2–0 +2.2
H Osters IF 2–1 +1.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (28 matches) Model expected (14 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 28 matches 0 26 51
+35.9 points against the model's expectation over the 14 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals scored 1.86 #2 of 16
Points over model expectation 35.9 #2 of 16
Goals conceded 1.36 #6 of 16

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.86 #2 of 16
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.36 #6 of 16
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 5 #10 of 16

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
61%
Scored before half time
of 18 goals
11%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 18 goals
6%
From the penalty spot
of 18 goals
18%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 11 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 28 stored fixtures (29 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
SUP Superettan 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Falcon Alkoholfri Arena gazetteer
Recorded form LWWDWW last 12: 1.75 scored / 1.25 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 25% (23 results held)
A Orebro SK 0-1 L · H Landskrona BoIS 4-3 W · A IFK Varnamo 2-1 W · H Ostersunds FK 0-0 D · A Ljungskile SK 2-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 31 Oct16:00in 4d
    Falkenbergs FF crestFalkenbergs FF Sandviken crestSandviken
    SUP
    Regular Season - 29
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 1 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN G. Donyoh from Manchester City Loan 2014-01-14
Team data: fresh · collected 20 min ago

Explore

Superettan Next: Falkenbergs FF v Sandviken Search Falkenbergs FF matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Falkenbergs FF play next?
Falkenbergs FF's next fixture in the snapshot is Falkenbergs FF v Sandviken on Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 UK time (Superettan).