Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for FC Basel 1893 — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming12 Results held
Model Strength
63.5
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.1%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
2nd
of 12 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
12
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
DDLLWL 5 pts from 6
A Grasshoppers 0–0 —
H Grasshoppers 0–0 -0.1
A FC Vaduz 0–3 -1.6
H FC ST. Gallen 1–3 -1.3
A FC Luzern 4–2 +1.7
H FC Lugano 1–3 -1.5
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (12 matches) Model expected (12 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 12 matches 0 8 15
+0.8 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Clean sheets 3 #4 of 12
Weaknesses
Goals scored 1.42 #10 of 12

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.42 #10 of 12
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.67 #6 of 12
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 3 #4 of 12

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
60%
Scored before half time
of 10 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 10 goals
10%
From the penalty spot
of 10 goals
31%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 16 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures (26 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
SL Super League 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: St. Jakob-Park gazetteer
Recorded form DDDWLL last 12: 1.42 scored / 2.17 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 33% (27 results held)
A Grasshoppers 0-0 D · H Grasshoppers 0-0 D · H Grasshopper Zürich 0-0 D · A Stade Nyonnais 3-0 W · A FC Vaduz 0-3 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 1 Nov15:30in 3d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT L. Millar to Hull City 3.5M 2024-08-09
OUT Renato Veiga to Chelsea € 14M 2024-07-12
IN M. Dräger from Nottingham Forest 2023-08-25
OUT A. Zeqiri to Brighton 2023-07-01
IN A. Zeqiri from Brighton Loan 2022-08-03
IN Arnau Comas from Barcelona 2022-07-06
OUT E. Cömert to Valencia € 800K 2022-01-25
OUT B. Bjarnason to Aston Villa € 2M 2017-01-25
OUT Mohamed Elneny to Arsenal € 6.6M 2016-01-14
OUT K. Voser to Fulham 2014-07-02
Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago

Explore

Super League Next: FC Lugano v FC Basel 1893 Search FC Basel 1893 matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do FC Basel 1893 play next?
FC Basel 1893's next fixture in the snapshot is FC Lugano v FC Basel 1893 on Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 UK time (Super League).