FC Ingolstadt 04

Next match TSV Havelse v FC Ingolstadt 04 Sat 31 Oct, 13:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for FC Ingolstadt 04 — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming11 Results held

Model Strength

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

94.1%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

20th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 31 Oct13:00

TSV Havelse A — 1.75

Unibet —

Form

last 6

WWWLLL 9 pts from 6

H MSV Duisburg 2–1 +2.3

H Rot-Weiß Essen 1–0 +2.3

A Waldhof Mannheim 3–0 +2.0

H SV Wehen 2–4 -1.3

A FC Viktoria Köln 0–3 -1.2

H Hoffenheim II 1–2 -1.5

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (11 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind

+6.6 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 4 #3 of 20

Points over model expectation 6.6 #4 of 20

Goals conceded 1.45 #6 of 20

Weaknesses

Goals scored 1.36 #16 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.36 #16 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.45 #6 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 4 #3 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

40%

Scored before half time

of 10 goals

20%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 10 goals

From the penalty spot

of 10 goals

31%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 16 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures (26 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

3LG 3. Liga - Germany 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No league table for this tie 3. Liga - Germany is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.

Home ground: Audi-Sportpark gazetteer

Recorded form WWWWLL last 12: 1.25 scored / 1.83 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 33% (21 results held)

H MSV Duisburg 2-1 W · H Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 W · H Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 W · A Waldhof Mannheim 3-0 W · H SV Wehen 2-4 L

Upcoming fixtures

Sat 31 Oct13:00in 4d

TSV Havelse FC Ingolstadt 04
3LG

Regular Season - 12

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 4 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
OUT	Ø. Nyland	to Aston Villa		2018-08-07
IN	K. Kerschbaumer	from Brentford	€ 1M	2018-07-01
OUT	M. Suttner	to Brighton		2017-07-13
OUT	P. Groß	to Brighton	€ 3M	2017-07-01

Team data: fresh · collected 22 h ago

Explore

3. Liga - Germany Next: TSV Havelse v FC Ingolstadt 04 Search FC Ingolstadt 04 matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do FC Ingolstadt 04 play next?

FC Ingolstadt 04's next fixture in the snapshot is TSV Havelse v FC Ingolstadt 04 on Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 UK time (3. Liga - Germany).