SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight FC Luzern
Join free channel

FC Luzern

Swiss SuperleagueSwissporarena
Next match FC Luzern v FC Basel Sun 13 Sept, 15:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for FC Luzern — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming7 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 2 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.9%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
3rd
of 10 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
7
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sun 13 Sept15:30 FC Basel crest FC Basel H — 2.12Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6
DWDWDL 9 pts from 6
A BSC Young Boys 3–3 -0.2
H FC Vaduz 2–1 +1.5
A Servette FC 1–1 —
H Lausanne 1–0 +1.5
A FC ST. Gallen 2–2 -0.3
A FC Sion 0–3 -0.6
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (7 matches) Model expected (7 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 7 matches 0 5 9
+1.2 points against the model's expectation over the 7 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Points over model expectation 1.2 #4 of 10
Weaknesses
Goals scored 1.43 #10 of 12

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.43 #10 of 12
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.86 #7 of 12
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #5 of 12

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
17%
Scored before half time
of 6 goals
17%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 6 goals
17%
From the penalty spot
of 6 goals
20%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 5 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 7 stored fixtures (11 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
SS Swiss Superleague 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Swissporarena gazetteer
Recorded form DWDWWD last 12: 1.83 scored / 1.58 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 25% (12 results held)
A BSC Young Boys 3-3 D · H FC Vaduz 2-1 W · A Servette FC 1-1 D · H Lausanne 1-0 W · A Buochs 3-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 13 Sept15:30in 42h 39m
    FC Luzern crestFC Luzern FC Basel crestFC Basel
    SS
    Regular Season - 8
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 3 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN Samed Yeşil from Liverpool Loan 2015-08-31
OUT P. Kasami to Fulham 2013-07-01
IN P. Kasami from Fulham Loan 2013-02-15
Team data: fresh · collected 4 h ago

Explore

Swiss Superleague Next: FC Luzern v FC Basel Search FC Luzern matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do FC Luzern play next?
FC Luzern's next fixture in the snapshot is FC Luzern v FC Basel on Sun 13 Sept, 15:30 UK time (Swiss Superleague).