SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight FC Luzern
Join free channel

FC Luzern

Swiss SuperleagueSwissporarena
Next match FC Luzern v FC Sion Sat 31 Oct, 19:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for FC Luzern — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
68
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.8%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
3rd
of 12 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 31 Oct19:30 FC Sion crest FC Sion H — 2.88Casumo —

Form

last 6
LLWLDW 7 pts from 6
A FC Zurich 1–2 -2.0
A FC Lugano 0–4 -1.3
H Grasshoppers 5–1 +1.7
H FC Basel 1893 2–4 -1.5
A BSC Young Boys 3–3 -0.2
H FC Vaduz 2–1 +1.5
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches) Model expected (11 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 11 matches 0 7 14
-1.8 points against the model's expectation over the 11 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Clean sheets 1 #9 of 12
Points over model expectation -1.8 #9 of 12
Goals conceded 2.18 #11 of 12

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.64 #7 of 12
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 2.18 #11 of 12
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #9 of 12

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
25%
Scored before half time
of 16 goals
19%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 16 goals
13%
From the penalty spot
of 16 goals
29%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 14 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures (30 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
SS Swiss Superleague 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Swissporarena gazetteer
Recorded form LWLLWW last 12: 2.08 scored / 2.08 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 75% · clean sheets 17% (20 results held)
A FC Zurich 1-2 L · A FC Winterthur 1-0 W · A FC Lugano 0-4 L · A SC Freiburg 2-4 L · H Grasshoppers 5-1 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 31 Oct19:30in 5d
    FC Luzern crestFC Luzern FC Sion crestFC Sion
    SS
    Regular Season - 12
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 5 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT M. Dräger to Nottingham Forest 2023-07-01
IN M. Dräger from Nottingham Forest Loan 2022-02-04
IN Samed Yeşil from Liverpool Loan 2015-08-31
OUT P. Kasami to Fulham 2013-07-01
IN P. Kasami from Fulham Loan 2013-02-15
Team data: fresh · collected 21 h ago

Explore

Swiss Superleague Next: FC Luzern v FC Sion Search FC Luzern matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do FC Luzern play next?
FC Luzern's next fixture in the snapshot is FC Luzern v FC Sion on Sat 31 Oct, 19:30 UK time (Swiss Superleague).