Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for FC Nordsjaelland — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
2 Upcoming12 Results held
Model Strength
57.2
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.2%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
1st
of 12 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
12
Held
Next fixtures
2 pricedForm
last 6DDDLWD
7 pts from 6
A
Silkeborg
1–1
-0.1
A
Lyngby
3–3
-0.4
H
Odense
0–0
-0.7
A
Viborg
1–4
-1.8
H
Aarhus
2–0
+1.5
A
FC Midtjylland
2–2
0.0
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (12 matches)
Model expected (12 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+2.3 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Clean sheets
5
#1 of 12
Goals conceded
1.17
#4 of 12
Points over model expectation
2.3
#4 of 12
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.5
#6 of 12
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.17
#4 of 12
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
5
#1 of 12
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed21%
Scored before half time
of 14 goals
36%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 14 goals
14%
From the penalty spot
of 14 goals
23%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 13 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures
(27 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form
DDDDDD
last 12: 1.42 scored / 1.75 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 25% (33 results held)
A Silkeborg 1-1 D · H CSKA Sofia 2-2 D · H PFC CSKA Sofia 2-2 D · A Lyngby 3-3 D · A Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 D
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sun 1 Nov15:00in 4dnot modelledmodel building—
-
Thu 5 Nov20:00in 9dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | to Coventry | Transfer | 2026-08-06 |
| OUT | Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | to Coventry | Transfer | 2026-08-05 |
| OUT | S. Egeli | to Ipswich | Transfer | 2025-09-01 |
| OUT | S. Egeli | to Ipswich | Transfer | 2025-08-29 |
| OUT | I. Osman | to Brighton | € 19.5M | 2024-07-01 |
| OUT | E. Marcondes | to Bournemouth | 2023-07-01 | |
| IN | E. Marcondes | from Bournemouth | Loan | 2023-01-11 |
| OUT | S. Adingra | to Brighton | 2022-06-24 | |
| IN | M. Bidstrup | from Brentford | Loan | 2022-01-29 |
| OUT | E. Marcondes | to Brentford | € 3M | 2018-01-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 4 min ago
Graded calls — from the public ledger
| Posted | Match | Selection | Posted → close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | FC Nordsjaelland v OB Odense BK | FC Nordsjaelland to Win | 1.56 → 1.67 | -6.6% | ✕ LOSS |
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
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Next: FC Nordsjaelland v FC Midtjylland
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Frequently asked questions
When do FC Nordsjaelland play next?
FC Nordsjaelland's next fixture in the snapshot is FC Nordsjaelland v FC Midtjylland on Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 UK time (Denmark Superliga).
