Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for FC Nordsjaelland — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming12 Results held
Model Strength
57.2
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.2%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
1st
of 12 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
12
Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Form

last 6
DDDLWD 7 pts from 6
A Silkeborg 1–1 -0.1
A Lyngby 3–3 -0.4
H Odense 0–0 -0.7
A Viborg 1–4 -1.8
H Aarhus 2–0 +1.5
A FC Midtjylland 2–2 0.0
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (12 matches) Model expected (12 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 12 matches 0 10 20
+2.3 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Clean sheets 5 #1 of 12
Goals conceded 1.17 #4 of 12
Points over model expectation 2.3 #4 of 12

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.5 #6 of 12
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.17 #4 of 12
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 5 #1 of 12

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
21%
Scored before half time
of 14 goals
36%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 14 goals
14%
From the penalty spot
of 14 goals
23%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 13 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures (27 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
DS Denmark Superliga 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form DDDDDD last 12: 1.42 scored / 1.75 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 25% (33 results held)
A Silkeborg 1-1 D · H CSKA Sofia 2-2 D · H PFC CSKA Sofia 2-2 D · A Lyngby 3-3 D · A Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 1 Nov15:00in 4d
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Thu 5 Nov20:00in 9d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi to Coventry Transfer 2026-08-06
OUT Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi to Coventry Transfer 2026-08-05
OUT S. Egeli to Ipswich Transfer 2025-09-01
OUT S. Egeli to Ipswich Transfer 2025-08-29
OUT I. Osman to Brighton € 19.5M 2024-07-01
OUT E. Marcondes to Bournemouth 2023-07-01
IN E. Marcondes from Bournemouth Loan 2023-01-11
OUT S. Adingra to Brighton 2022-06-24
IN M. Bidstrup from Brentford Loan 2022-01-29
OUT E. Marcondes to Brentford € 3M 2018-01-01
Team data: fresh · collected 4 min ago

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-10-09 FC Nordsjaelland v OB Odense BK FC Nordsjaelland to Win 1.56 → 1.67 -6.6% ✕ LOSS
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.

Explore

Denmark SuperligaUEFA Europa Conference League Next: FC Nordsjaelland v FC Midtjylland Search FC Nordsjaelland matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do FC Nordsjaelland play next?
FC Nordsjaelland's next fixture in the snapshot is FC Nordsjaelland v FC Midtjylland on Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 UK time (Denmark Superliga).