Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for FC St. Pauli — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming9 Results held
Model Strength
41.4
Limited
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
6th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
9
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
CasumoForm
last 6DDWDWD
10 pts from 6
A
SV Darmstadt 98
0–0
-0.3
A
Hannover 96
1–1
-0.3
H
Karlsruher SC
2–0
+1.6
A
Energie Cottbus
1–1
-0.2
H
VfL Wolfsburg
1–0
+1.4
A
Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
-0.1
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (9 matches)
Model expected (9 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-0.2 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals conceded
1
#3 of 18
Clean sheets
3
#5 of 18
Weaknesses
Goals scored
1.22
#13 of 18
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.22
#13 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1
#3 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
3
#5 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed38%
Scored before half time
of 8 goals
25%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 8 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 8 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 6 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures
(14 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
BUNNo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Millerntor-Stadion gazetteer
Recorded form
DDWDDW
last 12: 1.17 scored / 1.17 conceded per game · Over 2.5 33% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 25% (40 results held)
A SV Darmstadt 98 0-0 D · A Hannover 96 1-1 D · H Karlsruher SC 2-0 W · H Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 D · A Energie Cottbus 1-1 D
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sun 1 Nov12:30in 5dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 9 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | F. Stevens | from Brentford | € 600K | 2024-07-26 |
| IN | S. Banks | from Crystal Palace | 400K | 2024-07-04 |
| OUT | Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira | to Nottingham Forest | € 1.5M | 2024-07-01 |
| OUT | L. Østigård | to Brighton | 2020-07-01 | |
| OUT | V. Gyökeres | to Brighton | 2020-07-01 | |
| IN | V. Gyökeres | from Brighton | Loan | 2019-07-25 |
| IN | L. Østigård | from Brighton | Loan | 2019-07-18 |
| IN | R. Miyaichi | from Arsenal | Free | 2015-07-01 |
| OUT | M. Eger | to Brentford | Free | 2011-07-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 20 h ago
Explore
Bundesliga 2 - Germany
Next: FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg
Search FC St. Pauli matches
Opportunity board
Frequently asked questions
When do FC St. Pauli play next?
FC St. Pauli's next fixture in the snapshot is FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg on Sun 1 Nov, 12:30 UK time (Bundesliga 2 - Germany).