Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for FC St. Pauli — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming4 Results held
Model Strength
43.5
Limited
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
93.9%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
11th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
4
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Betfair ExchangeForm
last 4DLDD
3 pts from 4
A
Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
-0.1
H
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
-1.3
A
Holstein Kiel
2–2
-0.3
H
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1–1
-0.6
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (4 matches)
Model expected (4 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-2.4 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Goals scored
1.5
#13 of 18
Points over model expectation
-2.4
#16 of 18
Clean sheets
0
#17 of 18
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.5
#13 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.75
#8 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
0
#17 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed33%
Scored before half time
of 3 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 3 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 3 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 4 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 4 stored fixtures
(7 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
BUNNo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Millerntor-Stadion gazetteer
Recorded form
DLLDDD
last 12: 2 scored / 1.83 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 83% · clean sheets 0% (40 results held)
A Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 D · H 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-2 L · A Rot-Weiß Essen 0-2 L · A Holstein Kiel 2-2 D · H SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 D
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 12 Sept19:30in 22h 45mnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 6 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | S. Banks | from Crystal Palace | 400K | 2024-07-04 |
| OUT | L. Østigård | to Brighton | 2020-07-01 | |
| OUT | V. Gyökeres | to Brighton | 2020-07-01 | |
| IN | V. Gyökeres | from Brighton | Loan | 2019-07-25 |
| IN | L. Østigård | from Brighton | Loan | 2019-07-18 |
| IN | R. Miyaichi | from Arsenal | Free | 2015-07-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 1 h ago
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Bundesliga 2 - Germany
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Frequently asked questions
When do FC St. Pauli play next?
FC St. Pauli's next fixture in the snapshot is FC St. Pauli v VfL Wolfsburg on Sat 12 Sept, 19:30 UK time (Bundesliga 2 - Germany).