FC Tokyo

J LeagueAjinomoto Stadium

Next match Fagiano Okayama v FC Tokyo Sat 31 Oct, 05:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for FC Tokyo — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming12 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 2 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95.7%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

8th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 31 Oct05:00

Fagiano Okayama A — 2.16

Casumo —

Form

last 6

WDWWWW 16 pts from 6

H Mito Hollyhock 6–0 +1.7

H Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 -0.6

A Tokyo Verdy 4–0 +1.5

H Urawa 3–0 +1.4

H Nagoya Grampus 1–0 +1.4

A Gamba Osaka 2–0 +1.8

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (12 matches) Model expected (12 priced) Ahead Behind

+10.9 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 0.67 #1 of 20

Clean sheets 9 #1 of 20

Points over model expectation 10.9 #1 of 20

Goals scored 2.25 #3 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2.25 #3 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.67 #1 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 9 #1 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

23%

Scored before half time

of 22 goals

23%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 22 goals

From the penalty spot

of 22 goals

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 1 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures (23 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

JL J League 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Home ground: Ajinomoto Stadium gazetteer

Recorded form WDWLWW last 12: 2.42 scored / 0.08 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 0% · clean sheets 92% (40 results held)

H Mito Hollyhock 6-0 W · H Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 D · A Tokyo Verdy 4-0 W · A Mito Hollyhock 0-1 L · H Urawa 3-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

Sat 31 Oct05:00in 4d

Fagiano Okayama FC Tokyo
JL

Regular Season - 13

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 1 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
OUT	R. Sato	to Valencia	Transfer	2026-07-06

Team data: fresh · collected 21 h ago

Explore

J League Next: Fagiano Okayama v FC Tokyo Search FC Tokyo matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do FC Tokyo play next?

FC Tokyo's next fixture in the snapshot is Fagiano Okayama v FC Tokyo on Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 UK time (J League).