Fluminense

Next match Fluminense v Internacional Wed 28 Oct, 22:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Fluminense — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming32 Results held

Model Strength

Elite

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95.7%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

17th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Wed 28 Oct22:30

Internacional H — 1.92

LeoVegas —

Form

last 6

LLLWWL 6 pts from 6

A Chapecoense-sc 1–2 -1.4

H Santos 1–2 -1.7

A Flamengo 0–1 -0.7

H Coritiba 4–0 +1.0

A Corinthians 3–1 +2.1

A Atletico-MG 1–3 -0.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (32 matches) Model expected (11 priced) Ahead Behind

+36.1 points against the model's expectation over the 11 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Points over model expectation 36.1 #3 of 20

Goals scored 1.56 #4 of 20

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 6 #15 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.56 #4 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.28 #9 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 6 #15 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

33%

Scored before half time

of 15 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 15 goals

From the penalty spot

of 15 goals

14%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 14 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 32 stored fixtures (29 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

BSA Brazil Série A 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Home ground: Maracanã Stadium gazetteer

Recorded form LWLLLL last 12: 1.75 scored / 1.25 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 25% (40 results held)

A Chapecoense-sc 1-2 L · A Palmeiras 1-0 W · H Santos 1-2 L · H Palmeiras 1-2 L · H Palmeiras-SP 1-2 L

Upcoming fixtures

Wed 28 Oct22:30in 42h 46m

Fluminense Internacional
BSA

Regular Season - 33

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
IN	Marcelo	from Liverpool	Free Transfer	2025-01-06
OUT	Marquinhos	to Arsenal		2025-01-01
IN	Thiago Silva	from Chelsea	Free	2024-07-10
IN	Marquinhos	from Arsenal	Loan	2024-02-15
OUT	Marcos Paulo	to Atletico Madrid	Free	2021-07-05
IN	Allan	from Liverpool	Loan	2019-02-01
IN	Caio Henrique	from Atletico Madrid	Loan	2019-01-10
OUT	Diego Cavalieri	to Crystal Palace	Free	2018-03-02
OUT	Marlon	to Barcelona	€ 5M	2017-07-01
OUT	Marlon	to Barcelona	Loan	2016-07-08

Team data: fresh · collected 21 h ago

Explore

Brazil Série A Next: Fluminense v Internacional Search Fluminense matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Fluminense play next?

Fluminense's next fixture in the snapshot is Fluminense v Internacional on Wed 28 Oct, 22:30 UK time (Brazil Série A).