SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Fortaleza EC
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Fortaleza EC

Serie BCastelão
Next match Fortaleza EC v Atletico Goianiense Mon 2 Nov, 19:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Fortaleza EC — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming35 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.1%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
17th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
35
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Mon 2 Nov19:00 Atletico Goianiense crest Atletico Goianiense H — no price —

Form

last 6
DWDWDD 10 pts from 6
A Ponte Preta 2–2 -0.2
A Sport Recife 2–0 +2.1
H CRB 2–2 -1.0
A America Mineiro 1–0 +2.3
H Nautico Recife 1–1 -1.0
H Athletic Club 2–2 -0.9
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (35 matches) Model expected (17 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 35 matches 0 31 61
+41.7 points against the model's expectation over the 17 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Clean sheets 15 #3 of 20
Points over model expectation 41.7 #3 of 20
Goals conceded 0.89 #5 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.23 #9 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.89 #5 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 15 #3 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
69%
Scored before half time
of 16 goals
6%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 16 goals
13%
From the penalty spot
of 16 goals
8%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 13 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 35 stored fixtures (29 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
SB Serie B 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Castelão gazetteer
Recorded form DDLWDD last 12: 1.33 scored / 1.17 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 75% · clean sheets 25% (40 results held)
H Deportivo Cali 1-1 D · A Ponte Preta 2-2 D · A Internacional de Bogota 1-2 L · A Sport Recife 2-0 W · H CRB 2-2 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Mon 2 Nov19:00in 7d
    Fortaleza EC crestFortaleza EC Atletico Goianiense crestAtletico Goianiense
    SB
    Regular Season - 36
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 1 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN Tobias Figueiredo from Hull City Free 2023-07-11
Team data: fresh · collected 4 h ago

Explore

Serie B Next: Fortaleza EC v Atletico Goianiense Search Fortaleza EC matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Fortaleza EC play next?
Fortaleza EC's next fixture in the snapshot is Fortaleza EC v Atletico Goianiense on Mon 2 Nov, 19:00 UK time (Serie B).