Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Fortuna Düsseldorf — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
93.1%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
14th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
UnibetForm
last 6DLWDLW
8 pts from 6
A
Hansa Rostock
1–1
-0.3
H
FC Saarbrücken
1–3
-1.1
A
Preußen Münster
2–1
+1.9
H
Verl
2–2
-0.4
A
Alemannia Aachen
0–1
-1.2
A
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2–1
+1.7
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches)
Model expected (9 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+3.2 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals conceded
1.27
#3 of 20
Weaknesses
Goals scored
1.09
#19 of 20
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.09
#19 of 20
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.27
#3 of 20
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
2
#8 of 20
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed36%
Scored before half time
of 11 goals
27%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 11 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 11 goals
10%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 10 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures
(21 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
3LG
No league table for this tie
3. Liga - Germany is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely
Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Merkur Spiel-Arena gazetteer
Recorded form
DLWDLW
last 12: 1.17 scored / 1.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 17% (40 results held)
A Hansa Rostock 1-1 D · H FC Saarbrücken 1-3 L · A Preußen Münster 2-1 W · H Verl 2-2 D · A Alemannia Aachen 0-1 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Fri 30 Oct18:00in 4dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | A. Tanaka | to Leeds | 2024-08-30 | |
| OUT | M. Karbownik | to Brighton | 2023-07-01 | |
| IN | M. Karbownik | from Brighton | Loan | 2022-08-04 |
| OUT | Z. Steffen | to Manchester City | 2020-07-01 | |
| OUT | L. Baker | to Chelsea | 2020-01-22 | |
| IN | M. Suttner | from Brighton | 2019-07-30 | |
| IN | L. Baker | from Chelsea | Loan | 2019-07-24 |
| IN | Z. Steffen | from Manchester City | Loan | 2019-07-10 |
| OUT | M. Suttner | to Brighton | 2019-07-01 | |
| IN | M. Suttner | from Brighton | Loan | 2019-01-17 |
Team data: fresh · collected 18 h ago
Explore
3. Liga - Germany
Next: Fortuna Düsseldorf v SV Meppen
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Frequently asked questions
When do Fortuna Düsseldorf play next?
Fortuna Düsseldorf's next fixture in the snapshot is Fortuna Düsseldorf v SV Meppen on Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 UK time (3. Liga - Germany).