Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Fortuna Köln — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming12 Results held
Model Strength
58.6
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
93.1%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
16th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
12
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
Form
last 6LLLLDW
4 pts from 6
H
Würzburger Kickers
1–2
-1.4
A
Preußen Münster
0–1
-0.8
H
Stuttgart II
0–1
-1.4
A
Rot-Weiß Essen
0–2
-1.0
H
FC Saarbrücken
0–0
-0.2
A
Havelse
3–1
+1.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (12 matches)
Model expected (10 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-2.5 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals conceded
1.17
#2 of 20
Weaknesses
Points over model expectation
-2.5
#19 of 20
Goals scored
0.75
#20 of 20
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
0.75
#20 of 20
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.17
#2 of 20
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
2
#12 of 20
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed50%
Scored before half time
of 10 goals
40%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 10 goals
20%
From the penalty spot
of 10 goals
36%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 11 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures
(21 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
3L
No league table for this tie
3. Liga is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely
Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Südstadion gazetteer
Recorded form
LLLLLL
last 12: 0.75 scored / 1.42 conceded per game · Over 2.5 33% · BTTS 33% · clean sheets 8% (23 results held)
H Würzburger Kickers 1-2 L · A Preußen Münster 0-1 L · H Stuttgart II 0-1 L · H VfB Stuttgart II 0-1 L · A Rot-Weiß Essen 0-2 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 7 Nov13:00in 7dnot modelledmodel building—
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Fortuna Köln play next?
Fortuna Köln's next fixture in the snapshot is Waldhof Mannheim v Fortuna Köln on Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 UK time (3. Liga).