SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Gamba Osaka
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Gamba Osaka

J LeagueSuita Stadium
Next match Gamba Osaka v FC Tokyo Sat 12 Sept, 11:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Gamba Osaka — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming6 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 2 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.3%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
11th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
6
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 12 Sept11:00 FC Tokyo crest FC Tokyo H — 4.00Smarkets —

Form

last 6
LDDLDW 6 pts from 6
A JEF United Chiba 0–2 -1.2
A V-varen Nagasaki 2–2 -0.6
H Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 —
A Nagoya Grampus 1–3 -1.3
A Mito Hollyhock 1–1 -0.2
H Urawa 4–3 +1.5
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (6 matches) Model expected (6 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 6 matches 0 3 7
-0.8 points against the model's expectation over the 6 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Goals conceded 1.83 #14 of 20
Points over model expectation -0.8 #15 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.33 #13 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.83 #14 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #11 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
0%
Scored before half time
of 2 goals
100%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 2 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 2 goals
50%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 4 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 6 stored fixtures (6 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
JL J League 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Suita Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form LDDWLD last 12: 2 scored / 1.25 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 42% (40 results held)
A JEF United Chiba 0-2 L · A V-varen Nagasaki 2-2 D · H Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 D · H Biwako Shiga 2-0 W · A Nagoya Grampus 1-3 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 12 Sept11:00in 14h 53m
    Gamba Osaka crestGamba Osaka FC Tokyo crestFC Tokyo
    JL
    Regular Season - 7
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 2 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN R. Meshino from Manchester City Free 2022-07-11
OUT R. Meshino to Manchester City 2019-08-21
Team data: fresh · collected 37 min ago

Explore

J League Next: Gamba Osaka v FC Tokyo Search Gamba Osaka matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Gamba Osaka play next?
Gamba Osaka's next fixture in the snapshot is Gamba Osaka v FC Tokyo on Sat 12 Sept, 11:00 UK time (J League).