SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Genk
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Genk

Belgium First Div
Next match Genk v Gent Sun 13 Sept, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Genk — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
63
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
10th
of 16 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sun 13 Sept15:00 Gent crest Gent H — 2.04Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 5
DWDWL 8 pts from 5
A Anderlecht 0–0 -0.2
H SK Beveren 4–0 —
A Antwerp 4–4 -0.3
H KVC Westerlo 3–2 +1.4
A Zulte Waregem 1–2 -1.1
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 5 matches 0 4 8
+2.9 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals scored 2.4 #3 of 18
Points over model expectation 2.9 #6 of 16

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 2.4 #3 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.6 #10 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 2 #8 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
75%
Scored before half time
of 4 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 4 goals
25%
From the penalty spot
of 4 goals
—
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 0 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (4 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
BFD Belgium First Div 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form DWDWWL last 12: 2 scored / 2 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 17% (15 results held)
A Anderlecht 0-0 D · H SK Beveren 4-0 W · A Antwerp 4-4 D · H Westerlo 3-2 W · H KVC Westerlo 3-2 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 13 Sept15:00in 42h 53m
    Genk crestGenk Gent crestGent
    BFD
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT M. Penders to Chelsea 2025-07-01
OUT M. Penders to Chelsea Return from loan 2025-05-30
IN M. Penders from Chelsea Loan 2024-08-28
OUT M. Penders to Chelsea € 20M 2024-08-27
OUT D. Muñoz to Crystal Palace € 10M 2024-01-30
IN A. Zeqiri from Brighton € 2.8M 2023-09-05
IN I. Ugbo from Chelsea 2021-08-24
OUT L. Trossard to Brighton € 20M 2019-06-26
OUT N. Kebano to Fulham € 4.5M 2016-08-26
IN E. Ünal from Manchester City Loan 2015-07-31
Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago

Explore

Belgium First Div Next: Genk v Gent Search Genk matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Genk play next?
Genk's next fixture in the snapshot is Genk v Gent on Sun 13 Sept, 15:00 UK time (Belgium First Div).