SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Gnistan
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Gnistan

Veikkausliiga
Next match Inter Turku v Gnistan Mon 2 Nov, 16:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Gnistan — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming29 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.7%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
12th
of 12 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
29
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Mon 2 Nov16:00 Inter Turku crest Inter Turku A — no price —

Form

last 6
LLLDDW 5 pts from 6
H AC Oulu 3–4 -1.4
A HJK Helsinki 0–4 -0.7
A VPS 0–1 -1.2
H Inter Turku 0–0 -0.5
H HJK Helsinki 1–1 -0.1
A AC Oulu 2–1 +1.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (29 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 29 matches 0 21 42
+32.6 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Points over model expectation 32.6 #3 of 12
Goals scored 1.48 #4 of 13
Weaknesses
Goals conceded 1.41 #10 of 13
Clean sheets 6 #10 of 13

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.48 #4 of 13
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.41 #10 of 13
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 6 #10 of 13

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
33%
Scored before half time
of 9 goals
33%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 9 goals
22%
From the penalty spot
of 9 goals
27%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 11 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 29 stored fixtures (20 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
VEI Veikkausliiga 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form LLLDDW last 12: 1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 8% (40 results held)
H AC Oulu 3-4 L · A HJK Helsinki 0-4 L · A VPS 0-1 L · H Inter Turku 0-0 D · H HJK Helsinki 1-1 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Mon 2 Nov16:00in 7d
    Inter Turku crestInter Turku Gnistan crestGnistan
    VEI
    Championship Group - 31
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 1 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN T. Minchev from Bournemouth Transfer 2025-06-30
Team data: fresh · collected 5 h ago

Explore

Veikkausliiga Next: Inter Turku v Gnistan Search Gnistan matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Gnistan play next?
Gnistan's next fixture in the snapshot is Inter Turku v Gnistan on Mon 2 Nov, 16:00 UK time (Veikkausliiga).