Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Grazer AK — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
2 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
58
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.4%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
5th
of 10 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held
Next fixtures
2 pricedForm
last 5DLLWL
4 pts from 5
H
Wolfsberger AC
0–0
—
A
Ried
0–1
-1.0
A
Rapid Vienna
0–8
-0.9
H
Austria Lustenau
2–1
+1.1
A
Lask Linz
0–3
-1.1
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches)
Model expected (5 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-0.8 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Points over model expectation
-0.8
#8 of 10
Goals scored
0.4
#12 of 12
Goals conceded
2.6
#12 of 12
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
0.4
#12 of 12
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
2.6
#12 of 12
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
1
#7 of 12
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feedNo goal detail stored
the minute-level event feed has not been collected for this club's fixtures
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Merkur Arena gazetteer
Recorded form
WDLLWL
last 12: 1.08 scored / 2.08 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 25% · clean sheets 33% (12 results held)
A Kitzbühel 2-0 W · H Wolfsberger AC 0-0 D · A Ried 0-1 L · A Rapid Vienna 0-8 L · H Austria Lustenau 2-1 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 12 Sept16:00in 19h 09mnot modelledmodel building—
-
Sat 19 Sept18:30in 8dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 1 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | Alexander Manninger | to Arsenal | 685K € | 1997-08-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 1 h ago
Graded calls — from the public ledger
| Posted | Match | Selection | Posted → close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | LASK v Grazer AK | LASK to Win | 1.68 → 1.62 | +3.7% | ✓ WIN |
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
Explore
Austrian Football Bundesliga
Next: Rheindorf Altach v Grazer AK
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Frequently asked questions
When do Grazer AK play next?
Grazer AK's next fixture in the snapshot is Rheindorf Altach v Grazer AK on Sat 12 Sept, 16:00 UK time (Austrian Football Bundesliga).
