SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Grazer AK
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Grazer AK

Austrian Football BundesligaMerkur Arena
Next match Grazer AK v Hartberg Fri 30 Oct, 18:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Grazer AK — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held
Model Strength
58
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.1%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
9th
of 12 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
10
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Fri 30 Oct18:30 Hartberg crest Hartberg H — 2.16Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6
DLDDWD 7 pts from 6
A WSG Wattens 1–1 -0.2
A Sturm Graz 1–6 -1.0
H Red Bull Salzburg 0–0 -0.1
H Austria Vienna 2–2 -0.7
A SCR Altach 2–1 +2.1
H Wolfsberger AC 0–0 —
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 10 matches 0 5 11
-0.7 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Points over model expectation -0.7 #10 of 12
Goals scored 0.8 #11 of 12
Goals conceded 2.3 #11 of 12

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 0.8 #11 of 12
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 2.3 #11 of 12
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 2 #6 of 12

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
83%
Scored before half time
of 6 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 6 goals
17%
From the penalty spot
of 6 goals
20%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 10 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (16 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
BUN Austrian Football Bundesliga 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Merkur Arena gazetteer
Recorded form DDLDDW last 12: 1.5 scored / 1.25 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 33% (22 results held)
A WSG Wattens 1-1 D · A WSG Tirol 1-1 D · A Sturm Graz 1-6 L · H Red Bull Salzburg 0-0 D · H RB Salzburg 0-0 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Fri 30 Oct18:30in 4d
    Grazer AK crestGrazer AK Hartberg crestHartberg
    BUN
    Regular Season - 11
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 1 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT Alexander Manninger to Arsenal 685K € 1997-08-01
Team data: fresh · collected 19 min ago

Explore

Austrian Football Bundesliga Next: Grazer AK v Hartberg Search Grazer AK matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Grazer AK play next?
Grazer AK's next fixture in the snapshot is Grazer AK v Hartberg on Fri 30 Oct, 18:30 UK time (Austrian Football Bundesliga).