Hannover 96

Niedersachsenstadion

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Hannover 96 — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

5 Results held
Model Strength
63
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.6%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
2nd
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held

Next fixtures

0 priced
No upcoming fixtures priced
the board holds no future fixture for this club yet

Form

last 5
LDWLL 4 pts from 5
A 1. FC Nürnberg 1–2 -1.1
H Karlsruher SC 2–2 -0.6
A SV Darmstadt 98 1–0 +1.6
H VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 -1.4
A Energie Cottbus 1–3 -1.1
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 5 matches 0 3 7
-2.6 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals conceded 1.6 #6 of 18
Clean sheets 1 #6 of 18
Weaknesses
Goals scored 1 #16 of 18
Points over model expectation -2.6 #18 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1 #16 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.6 #6 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #6 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
75%
Scored before half time
of 4 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 4 goals
50%
From the penalty spot
of 4 goals
25%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 4 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (8 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
Home ground: Niedersachsenstadion gazetteer
Recorded form LDWWLL last 12: 3 scored / 1.11 conceded per game · Over 2.5 78% · BTTS 56% · clean sheets 33% (9 results held)
A 1. FC Nürnberg 1-2 L · H Karlsruher SC 2-2 D · A SV Darmstadt 98 1-0 W · A Hemelingen 9-1 W · H VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. No upcoming fixtures in the current snapshot — the board refills as the engine sweeps the markets.

Transfers (last 5 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN T. Asano from Arsenal Loan 2018-07-01
IN Johan Danon Djourou-Gbadjere from Arsenal Loan 2013-01-05
IN M. Diouf from Manchester United € 1.8M 2012-01-29
IN R. Zieler from Manchester United Free 2010-07-01
IN L. Andreasen from Fulham € 2.5M 2009-01-30
Team data: fresh · collected 6 min ago

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