
Hannover 96
Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Hannover 96 — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
5 Results held
Model Strength
63
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.6%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
2nd
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held
Next fixtures
0 pricedNo upcoming fixtures priced
the board holds no future fixture for this club yet
Form
last 5LDWLL
4 pts from 5
A
1. FC Nürnberg
1–2
-1.1
H
Karlsruher SC
2–2
-0.6
A
SV Darmstadt 98
1–0
+1.6
H
VfL Wolfsburg
0–1
-1.4
A
Energie Cottbus
1–3
-1.1
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches)
Model expected (5 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-2.6 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals conceded
1.6
#6 of 18
Clean sheets
1
#6 of 18
Weaknesses
Goals scored
1
#16 of 18
Points over model expectation
-2.6
#18 of 18
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1
#16 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.6
#6 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
1
#6 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed75%
Scored before half time
of 4 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 4 goals
50%
From the penalty spot
of 4 goals
25%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 4 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures
(8 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
Home ground: Niedersachsenstadion gazetteer
Recorded form
LDWWLL
last 12: 3 scored / 1.11 conceded per game · Over 2.5 78% · BTTS 56% · clean sheets 33% (9 results held)
A 1. FC Nürnberg 1-2 L · H Karlsruher SC 2-2 D · A SV Darmstadt 98 1-0 W · A Hemelingen 9-1 W · H VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 L
Upcoming fixtures
- No upcoming fixtures in the current snapshot — the board refills as the engine sweeps the markets.
Transfers (last 5 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | T. Asano | from Arsenal | Loan | 2018-07-01 |
| IN | Johan Danon Djourou-Gbadjere | from Arsenal | Loan | 2013-01-05 |
| IN | M. Diouf | from Manchester United | € 1.8M | 2012-01-29 |
| IN | R. Zieler | from Manchester United | Free | 2010-07-01 |
| IN | L. Andreasen | from Fulham | € 2.5M | 2009-01-30 |
Team data: fresh · collected 6 min ago