SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Havelse
Join free channel

Havelse

3. Liga
Next match Havelse v Fortuna Köln Sat 19 Sept, 13:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Havelse — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
93.8%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
7th
of 12 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 19 Sept13:00 Fortuna Köln crest Fortuna Köln H — no price —

Form

last 5
DLWLL 4 pts from 5
H SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2–2 -0.4
A Preußen Münster 1–2 -1.3
H Waldhof Mannheim 3–2 +1.4
A Rot-Weiß Essen 0–1 —
H Stuttgart II 2–3 —
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 5 matches 0 2 4
-0.2 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Goals conceded 2 #14 of 20
Clean sheets 0 #17 of 20
Points over model expectation -0.2 #12 of 12

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.6 #12 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 2 #14 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 0 #17 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
50%
Scored before half time
of 8 goals
25%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 8 goals
25%
From the penalty spot
of 8 goals
17%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 6 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (14 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
3L 3. Liga 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No league table for this tie 3. Liga is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Recorded form DDLLWL last 12: 1.33 scored / 1.92 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 83% · clean sheets 8% (13 results held)
H SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-2 D · H SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 2-2 D · A Preußen Münster 1-2 L · A SC Preußen Münster 1-2 L · H Waldhof Mannheim 3-2 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 19 Sept13:00in 7d
    Havelse crestHavelse Fortuna Köln crestFortuna Köln
    3L
    Regular Season - 7
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

3. Liga Next: Havelse v Fortuna Köln Search Havelse matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Havelse play next?
Havelse's next fixture in the snapshot is Havelse v Fortuna Köln on Sat 19 Sept, 13:00 UK time (3. Liga).