Heerenveen

Next match Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen Sat 31 Oct, 17:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Heerenveen — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held

Model Strength

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.2%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

11th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 31 Oct17:45

NEC Nijmegen H — 1.98

Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

WWLWDL 10 pts from 6

A ADO Den Haag 3–2 +1.1

H Excelsior 4–0 +1.0

A PSV Eindhoven 0–2 -0.3

A Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 +2.0

H Telstar 0–0 -0.6

H AZ Alkmaar 2–3 -0.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind

+3.6 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 4 #2 of 18

Points over model expectation 3.6 #4 of 18

Goals conceded 1.3 #6 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.8 #9 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.3 #6 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 4 #2 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

38%

Scored before half time

of 16 goals

25%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 16 goals

From the penalty spot

of 16 goals

25%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 8 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (24 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

ERE Dutch Eredivisie 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Home ground: Abe Lenstra Stadion gazetteer

Recorded form WWWLWD last 12: 1.92 scored / 1.33 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 42% (40 results held)

A ADO Den Haag 3-2 W · H Excelsior 4-0 W · H SBV Excelsior 4-0 W · A PSV Eindhoven 0-2 L · A Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

Sat 31 Oct17:45in 5d

Heerenveen NEC Nijmegen
ERE

Regular Season - 11

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 9 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
OUT	M. van Ewijk	to Coventry		2023-07-27
OUT	J. van Hecke	to Brighton		2021-07-01
IN	J. van Hecke	from Brighton	Loan	2020-09-18
IN	A. Dreyer	from Brighton	Loan	2019-08-23
IN	R. Kongolo	from Manchester City		2018-07-18
IN	S. Facey	from Manchester City	Loan	2016-08-31
OUT	Oussama Assaidi	to Liverpool	3.8M €	2012-08-20
OUT	M. Väyrynen	to Leeds	Free	2011-09-14
OUT	Georgios Samaras	to Manchester City	8.5M €	2005-07-01

Team data: fresh · collected 19 h ago

Explore

Dutch Eredivisie Next: Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen Search Heerenveen matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Heerenveen play next?

Heerenveen's next fixture in the snapshot is Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen on Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 UK time (Dutch Eredivisie).