Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for HJK Helsinki — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming31 Results held
Model Strength
71
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.6%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
2 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
1st
of 12 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
31
Held
Next fixtures
1 pricedForm
last 6WWDWWW
16 pts from 6
A
VPS
4–0
+1.2
A
Inter Turku
4–2
+1.3
H
KuPS
2–2
-0.9
H
Gnistan
4–0
+0.9
A
AC Oulu
4–3
+1.0
H
VPS
6–0
+0.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (31 matches)
Model expected (15 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+31.5 points against the model's expectation over the 15 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
2.03
#1 of 13
Clean sheets
12
#2 of 13
Points over model expectation
31.5
#4 of 12
Goals conceded
1.16
#5 of 13
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
2.03
#1 of 13
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.16
#5 of 13
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
12
#2 of 13
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed39%
Scored before half time
of 28 goals
11%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 28 goals
4%
From the penalty spot
of 28 goals
20%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 10 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 31 stored fixtures
(38 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form
WWWDDW
last 12: 3 scored / 0.92 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 50% (34 results held)
A VPS 4-0 W · A VPS Vaasa 4-0 W · A Inter Turku 4-2 W · H KuPS 2-2 D · H KuPS Kuopio 2-2 D
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sun 8 Nov13:00in 5dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 8 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | A. Nallo | from Liverpool | Loan | 2026-07-23 |
| OUT | L. Plange | to Crystal Palace | 2025-01-01 | |
| IN | L. Plange | from Crystal Palace | Loan | 2024-03-15 |
| IN | Brooklyn Lyons-Foster | from Tottenham | 2024-02-14 | |
| OUT | J. Oksanen | to Brentford | 2018-07-01 | |
| IN | M. Forssell | from Leeds | 2012-10-30 | |
| IN | M. Väyrynen | from Leeds | Free | 2012-07-10 |
| IN | D. Hoesen | from Fulham | Loan | 2010-04-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 5 h ago
Graded calls — from the public ledger
| Posted | Match | Selection | Posted → close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | AC Oulu v HJK Helsinki | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.78 → 1.81 | -1.7% | ✓ WIN |
| 2026-10-08 | HJK Helsinki v VPS Vaasa | HJK Helsinki to Win | 1.59 → 1.62 | -1.9% | ✓ WIN |
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do HJK Helsinki play next?
HJK Helsinki's next fixture in the snapshot is HJK Helsinki v AC Oulu on Sun 8 Nov, 13:00 UK time (Veikkausliiga - Finland).
