Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for HJK Helsinki — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming31 Results held
Model Strength
71
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.6%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
2 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
1st
of 12 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
31
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
WWDWWW 16 pts from 6
A VPS 4–0 +1.2
A Inter Turku 4–2 +1.3
H KuPS 2–2 -0.9
H Gnistan 4–0 +0.9
A AC Oulu 4–3 +1.0
H VPS 6–0 +0.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (31 matches) Model expected (15 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 31 matches 0 29 58
+31.5 points against the model's expectation over the 15 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals scored 2.03 #1 of 13
Clean sheets 12 #2 of 13
Points over model expectation 31.5 #4 of 12
Goals conceded 1.16 #5 of 13

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 2.03 #1 of 13
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.16 #5 of 13
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 12 #2 of 13

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
39%
Scored before half time
of 28 goals
11%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 28 goals
4%
From the penalty spot
of 28 goals
20%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 10 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 31 stored fixtures (38 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
VF Veikkausliiga - Finland 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form WWWDDW last 12: 3 scored / 0.92 conceded per game · Over 2.5 75% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 50% (34 results held)
A VPS 4-0 W · A VPS Vaasa 4-0 W · A Inter Turku 4-2 W · H KuPS 2-2 D · H KuPS Kuopio 2-2 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 8 Nov13:00in 5d
    HJK Helsinki crestHJK Helsinki AC Oulu crestAC Oulu
    Championship Group - 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 8 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN A. Nallo from Liverpool Loan 2026-07-23
OUT L. Plange to Crystal Palace 2025-01-01
IN L. Plange from Crystal Palace Loan 2024-03-15
IN Brooklyn Lyons-Foster from Tottenham 2024-02-14
OUT J. Oksanen to Brentford 2018-07-01
IN M. Forssell from Leeds 2012-10-30
IN M. Väyrynen from Leeds Free 2012-07-10
IN D. Hoesen from Fulham Loan 2010-04-01
Team data: fresh · collected 5 h ago

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-10-12 AC Oulu v HJK Helsinki Over 2.5 Goals 1.78 → 1.81 -1.7% ✓ WIN
2026-10-08 HJK Helsinki v VPS Vaasa HJK Helsinki to Win 1.59 → 1.62 -1.9% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.

Explore

Veikkausliiga - Finland Next: HJK Helsinki v AC Oulu Search HJK Helsinki matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do HJK Helsinki play next?
HJK Helsinki's next fixture in the snapshot is HJK Helsinki v AC Oulu on Sun 8 Nov, 13:00 UK time (Veikkausliiga - Finland).