I

Independiente

Primera División - Argentina

Next match Defensa y Justicia v Independiente Sat 31 Oct, 17:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Independiente — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming31 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

93.7%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

10th

of 30 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

31

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 31 Oct17:45 Defensa y Justicia A — 3.10Betfred — Sat 31 Oct17:45 Defensa y Justicia A — 3.40Ladbrokes —

Form

last 6

LDDLWD 6 pts from 6

H Boca Juniors 0–1 -1.4

A Racing Club 1–1 +0.0

A Talleres Cordoba 0–0 -0.1

H Instituto Cordoba 1–4 -1.9

A Union Santa Fe 2–1 +1.6

H San Lorenzo 1–1 -0.6

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (31 matches) Model expected (13 priced) Ahead Behind

+25.5 points against the model's expectation over the 13 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Nothing ranks yet

a strength is a rank against the rest of the competition, and this club's stored fixtures do not yet support one on any quantity

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.19 #11 of 30

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.19 #20 of 30

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 9 #18 of 30

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

33%

Scored before half time

of 6 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 6 goals

17%

From the penalty spot

of 6 goals

18%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 11 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 31 stored fixtures (17 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

PDA Primera División - Argentina 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 31 Oct17:45in 5d
   Defensa y Justicia Independiente

   PDA
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct17:45in 5d
   Defensa y Justicia Independiente

   PDA

   Clausura - 15
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 5 recorded)

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