Independiente del Valle

CONMEBOL LibertadoresEstadio Rumiñahui

Next match Flamengo v Independiente del Valle Fri 18 Sept, 01:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Independiente del Valle — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming9 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

94.2%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

2nd

of 5 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Fri 18 Sept01:30

Flamengo A — no price —

Form

last 6

LWWWWL 12 pts from 6

H Flamengo 0–2 -1.7

H Deportes Tolima 3–1 +1.3

A Deportes Tolima 1–0 +2.1

H Rosario Central 1–0 —

H Libertad Asuncion 4–1 —

A UCV 0–2 —

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (9 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+14.6 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Points over model expectation 14.6 #2 of 5

Goals scored 1.67 #4 of 47

Clean sheets 3 #16 of 47

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.67 #4 of 47

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1 #28 of 47

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 3 #16 of 47

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

Scored before half time

of 3 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 3 goals

From the penalty spot

of 3 goals

67%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 3 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures (6 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

CL CONMEBOL Libertadores 1 fixture on the snapshot · competition page

No league table for this tie CONMEBOL Libertadores is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.

Home ground: Estadio Rumiñahui gazetteer

Recorded form LLWLDW last 12: 1.67 scored / 1.17 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 33% (19 results held)

H Flamengo 0-2 L · H Flamengo-RJ 0-2 L · H Macara 3-1 W · A Barcelona SC 1-2 L · H Universidad Catolica 2-2 D

Upcoming fixtures

Fri 18 Sept01:30in 6d

Flamengo Independiente del Valle
CL

Quarter-finals

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 4 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
OUT	K. Páez	to Chelsea	Transfer	2025-06-30
OUT	K. Páez	to Chelsea	Transfer	2025-06-01
OUT	M. Caicedo	to Brighton		2021-02-01
OUT	B. Arce	to Brighton		2018-08-06

Team data: fresh · collected 5 min ago

Explore

CONMEBOL Libertadores Next: Flamengo v Independiente del Valle Search Independiente del Valle matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Independiente del Valle play next?

Independiente del Valle's next fixture in the snapshot is Flamengo v Independiente del Valle on Fri 18 Sept, 01:30 UK time (CONMEBOL Libertadores).