Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Jagiellonia — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
61
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.6%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
14th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
WLLLLW 6 pts from 6
H Wisla Plock 1–0 +1.9
A Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 -0.5
H Gornik Zabrze 1–3 -1.5
H Legia Warszawa 1–3 -2.0
A Wisla Krakow 0–2 -0.6
H Slask Wroclaw 2–1 +1.2
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches) Model expected (11 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 11 matches 0 8 15
+2.2 points against the model's expectation over the 11 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Nothing ranks yet
a strength is a rank against the rest of the competition, and this club's stored fixtures do not yet support one on any quantity

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.27 #12 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.55 #12 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 2 #11 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
58%
Scored before half time
of 12 goals
33%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 12 goals
25%
From the penalty spot
of 12 goals
46%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 13 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures (25 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
EKS Ekstraklasa 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form WWLLLL last 12: 1.33 scored / 1.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 25% (38 results held)
H Wisla Plock 1-0 W · H Wisła Płock 1-0 W · H Anderlecht 0-3 L · H Anderlecht 0-3 L · A Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 31 Oct17:00in 5d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 2 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT D. Iliev to Arsenal 2020-07-01
IN D. Iliev from Arsenal Loan 2020-01-14
Team data: fresh · collected 21 h ago

Explore

Ekstraklasa Next: Wieczysta Kraków v Jagiellonia Search Jagiellonia matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Jagiellonia play next?
Jagiellonia's next fixture in the snapshot is Wieczysta Kraków v Jagiellonia on Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 UK time (Ekstraklasa).