Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Jagiellonia — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
61
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.6%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
14th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held
Next fixtures
1 pricedForm
last 6WLLLLW
6 pts from 6
H
Wisla Plock
1–0
+1.9
A
Zaglebie Lubin
0–1
-0.5
H
Gornik Zabrze
1–3
-1.5
H
Legia Warszawa
1–3
-2.0
A
Wisla Krakow
0–2
-0.6
H
Slask Wroclaw
2–1
+1.2
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches)
Model expected (11 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+2.2 points against the model's expectation over the 11 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionNothing ranks yet
a strength is a rank against the rest of the competition, and this club's stored
fixtures do not yet support one on any quantity
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.27
#12 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.55
#12 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
2
#11 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed58%
Scored before half time
of 12 goals
33%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 12 goals
25%
From the penalty spot
of 12 goals
46%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 13 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures
(25 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form
WWLLLL
last 12: 1.33 scored / 1.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 25% (38 results held)
H Wisla Plock 1-0 W · H Wisła Płock 1-0 W · H Anderlecht 0-3 L · H Anderlecht 0-3 L · A Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 L
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 31 Oct17:00in 5dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 2 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | D. Iliev | to Arsenal | 2020-07-01 | |
| IN | D. Iliev | from Arsenal | Loan | 2020-01-14 |
Team data: fresh · collected 20 h ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Jagiellonia play next?
Jagiellonia's next fixture in the snapshot is Wieczysta Kraków v Jagiellonia on Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 UK time (Ekstraklasa).
