Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for JEF United Chiba — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming6 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 2 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.4%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
10th
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
6
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
WLLLLL 3 pts from 6
H Gamba Osaka 2–0 +1.5
H Fagiano Okayama 1–2 -1.5
A Kawasaki Frontale 2–4
A FC Tokyo 0–2 -1.2
H Machida Zelvia 0–4 -1.5
A Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–3 -1.2
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (6 matches) Model expected (6 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 6 matches 0 3 7
-3.9 points against the model's expectation over the 6 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Clean sheets 1 #15 of 20
Goals scored 0.83 #18 of 20
Goals conceded 2.5 #20 of 20
Points over model expectation -3.9 #20 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 0.83 #18 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 2.5 #20 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #15 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
80%
Scored before half time
of 5 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 5 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 5 goals
17%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 6 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 6 stored fixtures (11 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
JL J League 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Fukuda Denshi Arena gazetteer
Recorded form WWLLDL last 12: 0.89 scored / 1.78 conceded per game · Over 2.5 44% · BTTS 33% · clean sheets 33% (9 results held)
A Kamatamare Sanuki 2-0 W · H Gamba Osaka 2-0 W · H Fagiano Okayama 1-2 L · A Kawasaki Frontale 2-4 L · H Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 13 Sept10:00in 37h 15m
    not modelled
    model building

Explore

J League Next: Tokyo Verdy v JEF United Chiba Search JEF United Chiba matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do JEF United Chiba play next?
JEF United Chiba's next fixture in the snapshot is Tokyo Verdy v JEF United Chiba on Sun 13 Sept, 10:00 UK time (J League).