Legia Warszawa

Next match Górnik Zabrze v Legia Warszawa Fri 30 Oct, 19:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Legia Warszawa — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming12 Results held

Model Strength

60.3

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95.6%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

3rd

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Fri 30 Oct19:30

Górnik Zabrze A — 3.30

Unibet —

Form

last 6

LDWWDW 11 pts from 6

H Lech Poznan 1–2 -2.0

A Cracovia Krakow 1–1 -0.5

H Wisla Krakow 2–0 +0.7

A Jagiellonia 3–1 +2.2

H Widzew Łódź 1–1 -1.0

A Motor Lublin 3–2 +2.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (12 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind

+7.2 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 1.92 #2 of 18

Goals conceded 0.92 #4 of 18

Points over model expectation 7.2 #4 of 18

Clean sheets 3 #6 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.92 #2 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.92 #4 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 3 #6 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 12 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 12 goals

17%

From the penalty spot

of 12 goals

13%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 8 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 12 stored fixtures (20 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EP Ekstraklasa - Poland 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Recorded form LDWWWW last 12: 1.92 scored / 1.17 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 75% · clean sheets 17% (23 results held)

H Lech Poznan 1-2 L · A Cracovia Krakow 1-1 D · H Wisla Krakow 2-0 W · H Wisła Kraków 2-0 W · H Korona Kielce 5-1 W

Upcoming fixtures

Fri 30 Oct19:30in 4d

Górnik Zabrze Legia Warszawa
EP

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
OUT	J. Valencia	to Brentford		2021-07-01
OUT	M. Karbownik	to Brighton		2021-01-17
IN	M. Karbownik	from Brighton	Loan	2020-10-06
OUT	M. Karbownik	to Brighton	€ 5M	2020-10-05
IN	J. Valencia	from Brentford	Loan	2020-09-16
IN	Artur Boruc	from Bournemouth	Free	2020-08-01
OUT	D. Kuciak	to Hull City		2016-02-01
OUT	K. Bielik	to Arsenal	€ 3M	2015-01-21
OUT	J. Mucha	to Everton	Free	2010-07-01
OUT	Ł. Fabiański	to Arsenal	€ 4.4M	2007-08-08

Team data: fresh · collected 20 h ago

Explore

Ekstraklasa - Poland Next: Górnik Zabrze v Legia Warszawa Search Legia Warszawa matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Legia Warszawa play next?

Legia Warszawa's next fixture in the snapshot is Górnik Zabrze v Legia Warszawa on Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 UK time (Ekstraklasa - Poland).