Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Lommel United — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming9 Results held
Model Strength
58.4
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.8%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
16th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
9
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
DWDLLW 8 pts from 6
A OH Leuven 2–2 -0.1
A SK Beveren 3–1 +1.8
H KV Mechelen 0–0 -0.4
A Union St. Gilloise 0–5 -1.0
H Club Brugge KV 0–1 -1.5
A Cercle Brugge 1–0 —
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (9 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 9 matches 0 6 12
+2.8 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals conceded 1.22 #6 of 18
Clean sheets 3 #6 of 18
Weaknesses
Goals scored 1.22 #13 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.22 #13 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.22 #6 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 3 #6 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
43%
Scored before half time
of 7 goals
14%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 7 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 7 goals
14%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 7 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures (14 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
JPL Jupiler Pro League 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Hoffe Park Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form DDLWWD last 12: 0.92 scored / 1.75 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 33% · clean sheets 33% (20 results held)
A OH Leuven 2-2 D · A Leuven 2-2 D · A St. Truiden 1-4 L · A SK Beveren 3-1 W · A Diksmuide 2-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 7 Nov19:45in 6d
    Antwerp crestAntwerp Lommel United crestLommel United
    Regular Season - 11
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 8 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN S. Nypan from Manchester City Loan 2026-07-10
IN A. Tsoungui from Brighton Loan 2023-01-31
OUT Diego Rosa to Manchester City 2022-07-01
IN D. Arzani from Manchester City Loan 2021-08-19
OUT D. Grimshaw to Manchester City 2021-06-30
IN Diego Rosa from Manchester City Loan 2021-02-08
IN D. Grimshaw from Manchester City Loan 2020-10-05
IN T. Agyepong from Manchester City Loan 2020-10-05
Team data: fresh · collected 10 min ago

Explore

Jupiler Pro League Next: Antwerp v Lommel United Search Lommel United matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Lommel United play next?
Lommel United's next fixture in the snapshot is Antwerp v Lommel United on Sat 7 Nov, 19:45 UK time (Jupiler Pro League).