Malmo FF

Next match Malmo FF v Örgryte IS Sun 13 Sept, 15:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Malmo FF — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held

Model Strength

65.8

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

1st

of 16 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sun 13 Sept15:30

Örgryte IS H — 1.40

LeoVegas —

Form

last 6

DWLWLW 10 pts from 6

H AIK Stockholm 0–0 -0.8

A Sirius 1–0 —

H Djurgardens IF 0–3 -1.9

A Gais 1–0 +1.2

H Degerfors IF 1–2 -2.5

A IF Brommapojkarna 2–1 +0.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+4.1 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 5 #2 of 16

Goals conceded 1 #4 of 16

Weaknesses

Points over model expectation 4.1 #11 of 16

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.3 #8 of 16

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1 #4 of 16

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 5 #2 of 16

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

100%

Scored before half time

of 1 goals

Scored from 75 minutes

of 1 goals

From the penalty spot

of 1 goals

25%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 4 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (5 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

AS Allsvenskan - Sweden 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Home ground: Eleda Stadion gazetteer

Recorded form DDWWLW last 12: 1.5 scored / 0.92 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 50% (40 results held)

H AIK Stockholm 0-0 D · H AIK 0-0 D · A Sirius 1-0 W · A Lindo FF 5-1 W · H Djurgardens IF 0-3 L

Upcoming fixtures

Sun 13 Sept15:30in 43h 22m

Malmo FF Örgryte IS
AS

Regular Season - 21

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 3 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
OUT	Tokelo Anthony Rantie	to Bournemouth	€ 4M	2013-09-02
IN	J. Hammar	from Everton	Free	2013-07-01
IN	E. Hallfreðsson	from Tottenham	Loan	2006-08-01

Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago

Explore

Allsvenskan - Sweden Next: Malmo FF v Örgryte IS Search Malmo FF matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Malmo FF play next?

Malmo FF's next fixture in the snapshot is Malmo FF v Örgryte IS on Sun 13 Sept, 15:30 UK time (Allsvenskan - Sweden).