Metz

Next match Red Star v Metz Mon 14 Sept, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Metz — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held

Model Strength

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.2%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

5th

of 17 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Mon 14 Sept19:45

Red Star A — 2.65

Grosvenor —

Form

last 5

WDDDW 9 pts from 5

H Rodez 4–1 +1.3

A Annecy 1–1 —

H Laval 1–1 -0.8

A Grenoble 0–0 -0.2

H Guingamp 2–1 +1.4

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind

+2.7 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 0.8 #3 of 18

Goals scored 1.6 #5 of 18

Points over model expectation 2.7 #5 of 17

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.6 #5 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.8 #3 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 1 #11 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

80%

Scored before half time

of 5 goals

Scored from 75 minutes

of 5 goals

From the penalty spot

of 5 goals

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 2 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (7 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L2F Ligue 2 - France 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Home ground: Saint-Symphorien gazetteer

Recorded form WWDDDW last 12: 2.42 scored / 1 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 83% · clean sheets 17% (40 results held)

H Rodez 4-1 W · H Rodez AF 4-1 W · A Annecy 1-1 D · H Laval 1-1 D · A Grenoble 0-0 D

Upcoming fixtures

Mon 14 Sept19:45in 3d

Red Star Metz
L2F

Regular Season - 6

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
OUT	P. Sarr	to Tottenham		2022-07-01
IN	P. Sarr	from Tottenham	Loan	2021-08-28
OUT	P. Sarr	to Tottenham	€ 17M	2021-08-27
IN	T. Ambrose	from Manchester City	€ 2M	2020-07-01
IN	V. Angban	from Chelsea	€ 6M	2019-07-01
IN	T. Ambrose	from Manchester City	Loan	2019-07-01
IN	V. Angban	from Chelsea	Loan	2018-07-27
IN	E. Rivière	from Newcastle	Free	2017-08-25
OUT	B. Mathis	to Everton		2017-07-05
OUT	S. Bassong	to Newcastle	€ 1.8M	2008-08-01

Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago

Explore

Ligue 2 - France Next: Red Star v Metz Search Metz matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Metz play next?

Metz's next fixture in the snapshot is Red Star v Metz on Mon 14 Sept, 19:45 UK time (Ligue 2 - France).