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Metz

Ligue 2 - FranceSaint-Symphorien
Next match Metz v Pau Fri 30 Oct, 19:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Metz — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held
Model Strength
68.7
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.9%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
6th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
10
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Fri 30 Oct19:00 Pau FC crest Pau FC H — 2.10888sport —

Form

last 6
DWLDLW 8 pts from 6
A Dunkerque 1–1 -0.3
H Sochaux 3–2 +1.3
A Dijon 2–4 -1.2
H Saint Etienne 2–2 -0.8
A RED Star FC 93 0–1 -1.0
H Rodez 4–1 +1.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 10 matches 0 7 14
+0.7 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals scored 1.6 #4 of 18
Weaknesses
Clean sheets 1 #14 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.6 #4 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.4 #11 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #14 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
58%
Scored before half time
of 12 goals
33%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 12 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 12 goals
7%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 14 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (26 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
L2F Ligue 2 - France 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Saint-Symphorien gazetteer
Recorded form DDWLDL last 12: 1.58 scored / 1.33 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 75% · clean sheets 8% (40 results held)
A Dunkerque 1-1 D · A USL Dunkerque 1-1 D · H Sochaux 3-2 W · A Dijon 2-4 L · H Saint Etienne 2-2 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Fri 30 Oct19:00in 4d
    Metz crestMetz Pau FC crestPau
    L2F
    Regular Season - 11
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT Brian Madjo to Aston Villa Transfer 2026-01-11
OUT Ó. Estupiñán to Hull City 2024-02-01
IN Ó. Estupiñán from Hull City Loan 2023-09-01
IN B. Tetteh from Hull City 2023-08-10
OUT P. Sarr to Tottenham 2022-07-01
IN P. Sarr from Tottenham Loan 2021-08-28
OUT P. Sarr to Tottenham € 17M 2021-08-27
IN T. Ambrose from Manchester City € 2M 2020-07-01
IN V. Angban from Chelsea € 6M 2019-07-01
IN T. Ambrose from Manchester City Loan 2019-07-01
Team data: fresh · collected 14 h ago

Explore

Ligue 2 - France Next: Metz v Pau FC Search Metz matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Metz play next?
Metz's next fixture in the snapshot is Metz v Pau FC on Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 UK time (Ligue 2 - France).