Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Molde — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming24 Results held
Model Strength
66.8
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.8%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
1st
of 16 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
24
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
WWDLWW 13 pts from 6
H Fredrikstad 5–1 +0.7
H Start 6–1 +0.4
A Lillestrom 2–2 -0.6
H Aalesund 1–2 -2.5
A Ham-Kam 5–1 +1.2
H KFUM Oslo 2–0 +0.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (24 matches) Model expected (11 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 24 matches 0 22 43
+20.7 points against the model's expectation over the 11 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals scored 2.38 #3 of 16
Points over model expectation 20.7 #6 of 16

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 2.38 #3 of 16
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.5 #8 of 16
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 4 #10 of 16

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
52%
Scored before half time
of 25 goals
20%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 25 goals
4%
From the penalty spot
of 25 goals
9%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 11 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 24 stored fixtures (36 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
EN Eliteserien - Norway 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form WWWDWL last 12: 3.83 scored / 1 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 33% (40 results held)
H Fredrikstad 5-1 W · H Start 6-1 W · H IK Start 6-1 W · A Lillestrom 2-2 D · H Kristiansund BK 3-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 1 Nov13:30in 5d
    SK Brann crestSK Brann Molde crestMolde
    Regular Season - 25
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN Trent Toure Kone Doherty from Liverpool Transfer 2026-02-26
OUT D. Fofana to Chelsea € 12M 2023-01-01
IN P. Cibicki from Leeds Loan 2018-07-03
IN M. Normann from Brighton Loan 2017-08-16
IN V. Forren from Brighton Free 2017-07-27
OUT V. Forren to Brighton 2017-03-07
IN Ole Söderberg from Newcastle 2012-01-01
IN M. Eikrem from Manchester United 2011-01-01
IN B. Amos from Manchester United Loan 2010-03-13
OUT M. Diouf to Manchester United € 4.5M 2010-01-01
Team data: fresh · collected 43 min ago

Explore

Eliteserien - Norway Next: SK Brann v Molde Search Molde matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Molde play next?
Molde's next fixture in the snapshot is SK Brann v Molde on Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 UK time (Eliteserien - Norway).