Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Molde — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming24 Results held
Model Strength
66.8
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.8%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
1st
of 16 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
24
Held
Next fixtures
1 pricedForm
last 6WWDLWW
13 pts from 6
H
Fredrikstad
5–1
+0.7
H
Start
6–1
+0.4
A
Lillestrom
2–2
-0.6
H
Aalesund
1–2
-2.5
A
Ham-Kam
5–1
+1.2
H
KFUM Oslo
2–0
+0.8
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (24 matches)
Model expected (11 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+20.7 points against the model's expectation over the 11 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals scored
2.38
#3 of 16
Points over model expectation
20.7
#6 of 16
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
2.38
#3 of 16
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.5
#8 of 16
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
4
#10 of 16
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed52%
Scored before half time
of 25 goals
20%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 25 goals
4%
From the penalty spot
of 25 goals
9%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 11 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 24 stored fixtures
(36 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form
WWWDWL
last 12: 3.83 scored / 1 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 33% (40 results held)
H Fredrikstad 5-1 W · H Start 6-1 W · H IK Start 6-1 W · A Lillestrom 2-2 D · H Kristiansund BK 3-0 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sun 1 Nov13:30in 5dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Trent Toure Kone Doherty | from Liverpool | Transfer | 2026-02-26 |
| OUT | D. Fofana | to Chelsea | € 12M | 2023-01-01 |
| IN | P. Cibicki | from Leeds | Loan | 2018-07-03 |
| IN | M. Normann | from Brighton | Loan | 2017-08-16 |
| IN | V. Forren | from Brighton | Free | 2017-07-27 |
| OUT | V. Forren | to Brighton | 2017-03-07 | |
| IN | Ole Söderberg | from Newcastle | 2012-01-01 | |
| IN | M. Eikrem | from Manchester United | 2011-01-01 | |
| IN | B. Amos | from Manchester United | Loan | 2010-03-13 |
| OUT | M. Diouf | to Manchester United | € 4.5M | 2010-01-01 |
Team data: fresh · collected 43 min ago
Explore
Frequently asked questions
When do Molde play next?
Molde's next fixture in the snapshot is SK Brann v Molde on Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 UK time (Eliteserien - Norway).
