Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Molde — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming8 Results held
Model Strength
67
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.5%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
1st
of 16 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
8
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
WWWLDW 13 pts from 6
H KFUM Oslo 2–0 +0.8
A Valerenga 4–3 +1.4
H Tromso 3–2 +0.8
A Kristiansund BK 1–2 -1.7
H Sarpsborg 08 FF 3–3 -1.3
A KFUM Oslo 4–2 +1.6
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (6 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 8 matches 0 7 14
+2.5 points against the model's expectation over the 6 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals scored 2.5 #4 of 16
Weaknesses
Goals conceded 2 #12 of 16
Clean sheets 1 #12 of 16

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 2.5 #4 of 16
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 2 #12 of 16
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #12 of 16

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
83%
Scored before half time
of 6 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 6 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 6 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (9 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
EN Eliteserien - Norway 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form WWWWWL last 12: 3.17 scored / 1.67 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 75% · clean sheets 25% (40 results held)
H KFUM Oslo 2-0 W · H KFUM 2-0 W · A Valerenga 4-3 W · A Midsund 11-0 W · H Tromso 3-2 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 13 Sept16:00in 43h 52m
    HamKam crestHamKam Molde crestMolde
    Regular Season - 21
    not modelled
    model building

Transfers (last 9 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN Trent Toure Kone Doherty from Liverpool Transfer 2026-02-26
OUT D. Fofana to Chelsea € 12M 2023-01-01
IN M. Normann from Brighton Loan 2017-08-16
IN V. Forren from Brighton Free 2017-07-27
OUT V. Forren to Brighton 2017-03-07
IN Ole Söderberg from Newcastle 2012-01-01
IN M. Eikrem from Manchester United 2011-01-01
IN B. Amos from Manchester United Loan 2010-03-13
OUT M. Diouf to Manchester United € 4.5M 2010-01-01
Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-08-02 Molde v Sarpsborg FK Molde to Win 1.69 → 1.66 +1.8% ✕ LOSS
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.

Explore

Eliteserien - Norway Next: HamKam v Molde Search Molde matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Molde play next?
Molde's next fixture in the snapshot is HamKam v Molde on Sun 13 Sept, 16:00 UK time (Eliteserien - Norway).