SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Montpellier
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Montpellier

Ligue 2
Next match Annecy v Montpellier Sat 31 Oct, 13:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Montpellier — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held
Model Strength
74.7
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.6%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
1st
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
10
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 31 Oct13:00 Annecy crest Annecy A — no price —

Form

last 6
WWWDWL 13 pts from 6
H RED Star FC 93 2–1 +1.3
A Rodez 3–0 +1.6
H Grenoble 2–0 +1.3
A Reims 1–1 -0.1
H PAU 1–0 +1.2
A Saint Etienne 1–3 -1.0
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 10 matches 0 11 21
+6.8 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals conceded 0.6 #1 of 18
Clean sheets 6 #1 of 18
Points over model expectation 6.8 #3 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.3 #9 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.6 #1 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 6 #1 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
36%
Scored before half time
of 11 goals
27%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 11 goals
9%
From the penalty spot
of 11 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 5 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (16 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
L2 Ligue 2 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form WWWWWD last 12: 1.5 scored / 0.58 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 58% (40 results held)
H RED Star FC 93 2-1 W · H Red Star 2-1 W · A Rodez 3-0 W · A Rodez AF 3-0 W · H Grenoble 2-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 31 Oct13:00in 5d
    Annecy crestAnnecy Montpellier crestMontpellier
    L2
    Regular Season - 11
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 8 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT B. Lecomte to Fulham Transfer 2025-07-26
OUT B. Lecomte to Fulham Transfer 2025-07-24
IN M. Sakho from Crystal Palace Free 2021-07-27
OUT B. Stambouli to Tottenham 2014-09-01
OUT R. Cabella to Newcastle € 10M 2014-07-13
OUT M. Yanga-Mbiwa to Newcastle € 8M 2013-01-22
OUT O. Giroud to Arsenal € 12M 2012-07-01
OUT T. Costa to Valencia € 6.5M 2010-07-01
Team data: fresh · collected 4 min ago

Explore

Ligue 2 Next: Annecy v Montpellier Search Montpellier matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Montpellier play next?
Montpellier's next fixture in the snapshot is Annecy v Montpellier on Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 UK time (Ligue 2).