SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Montpellier
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Montpellier

Ligue 2
Next match Reims v Montpellier Fri 18 Sept, 19:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Montpellier — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
74.7
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.3%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
2nd
of 17 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held

Next fixtures

2 priced
Fri 11 Sept19:00 Pau FC crest Pau FC H — 1.92Smarkets — Fri 18 Sept19:00 Reims crest Reims A — no price —

Form

last 5
LDWWD 8 pts from 5
A Saint Etienne 1–3 -1.0
H Boulogne 0–0 -0.7
A Dunkerque 1–0 +1.9
A Nancy 1–0 +1.8
H Dijon 1–1 -0.6
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 5 matches 0 4 8
+1.4 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Clean sheets 3 #2 of 18
Goals conceded 0.8 #4 of 18
Points over model expectation 1.4 #6 of 17
Weaknesses
Goals scored 0.8 #13 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 0.8 #13 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.8 #4 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 3 #2 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
100%
Scored before half time
of 2 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 2 goals
50%
From the penalty spot
of 2 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (5 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
L2 Ligue 2 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form LDWWWD last 12: 1.75 scored / 1.42 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 42% (40 results held)
A Saint Etienne 1-3 L · H Boulogne 0-0 D · A USL Dunkerque 1-0 W · A Dunkerque 1-0 W · A Nancy 1-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Fri 18 Sept19:00in 7d
    Reims crestReims Montpellier crestMontpellier
    L2
    Regular Season - 7
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 7 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT B. Lecomte to Fulham Transfer 2025-07-26
OUT B. Lecomte to Fulham Transfer 2025-07-24
IN M. Sakho from Crystal Palace Free 2021-07-27
OUT B. Stambouli to Tottenham 2014-09-01
OUT R. Cabella to Newcastle € 10M 2014-07-13
OUT M. Yanga-Mbiwa to Newcastle € 8M 2013-01-22
OUT O. Giroud to Arsenal € 12M 2012-07-01
Team data: fresh · collected just now

Explore

Ligue 2 Next: Reims v Montpellier Search Montpellier matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Montpellier play next?
Montpellier's next fixture in the snapshot is Reims v Montpellier on Fri 18 Sept, 19:00 UK time (Ligue 2).