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MSV Duisburg

3. Liga - GermanySchauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Next match MSV Duisburg v VfB Stuttgart II Sat 31 Oct, 13:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for MSV Duisburg — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming11 Results held
Model Strength
65.3
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.3%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
2nd
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
11
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 31 Oct13:00 VfB Stuttgart II crest VfB Stuttgart II H — 1.53Paddy Power —

Form

last 6
LDWWWW 13 pts from 6
A FC Ingolstadt 04 1–2 -2.0
H FC Viktoria Köln 1–1 -0.5
A FC Saarbrücken 4–2 +1.6
H Hoffenheim II 3–2 +1.4
A SV Wehen 4–1 +1.3
H Havelse 2–1 +1.6
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (11 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 11 matches 0 13 25
+11.1 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Points over model expectation 11.1 #1 of 20
Goals scored 2.55 #2 of 20
Goals conceded 1.27 #4 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 2.55 #2 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.27 #4 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 2 #9 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
52%
Scored before half time
of 21 goals
19%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 21 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 21 goals
25%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 12 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 11 stored fixtures (33 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
3LG 3. Liga - Germany 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No league table for this tie 3. Liga - Germany is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena gazetteer
Recorded form LDDWWW last 12: 2.33 scored / 1.42 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 100% · clean sheets 0% (23 results held)
A FC Ingolstadt 04 1-2 L · H FC Viktoria Köln 1-1 D · H FC Viktoria Köln 1904 1-1 D · A FC Saarbrücken 4-2 W · H Hoffenheim II 3-2 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 31 Oct13:00in 4d
    MSV Duisburg crestMSV Duisburg VfB Stuttgart II crestVfB Stuttgart II
    3LG
    Regular Season - 12
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

3. Liga - Germany Next: MSV Duisburg v VfB Stuttgart II Search MSV Duisburg matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do MSV Duisburg play next?
MSV Duisburg's next fixture in the snapshot is MSV Duisburg v VfB Stuttgart II on Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 UK time (3. Liga - Germany).