Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Nantes — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
1 Upcoming10 Results held
Model Strength
70
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.2%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
13th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
10
Held
Next fixtures
1 priced
GrosvenorForm
last 6LLDWLW
7 pts from 6
A
Saint Etienne
0–1
-0.6
H
Dunkerque
2–3
-1.4
H
Reims
0–0
-0.4
A
Boulogne
2–1
+2.1
A
Sochaux
0–1
-1.0
H
Nancy
1–0
+1.3
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (10 matches)
Model expected (10 priced)
Ahead
Behind
-3.2 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionWeaknesses
Goals scored
1.1
#14 of 18
Goals conceded
1.7
#15 of 18
Points over model expectation
-3.2
#16 of 18
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1.1
#14 of 18
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
1.7
#15 of 18
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
2
#12 of 18
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed25%
Scored before half time
of 8 goals
38%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 8 goals
13%
From the penalty spot
of 8 goals
30%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 10 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures
(18 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
L2FNo stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Stade de la Beaujoire gazetteer
Recorded form
LLLDDW
last 12: 1.17 scored / 1.75 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 25% (40 results held)
A Saint Etienne 0-1 L · H Dunkerque 2-3 L · H USL Dunkerque 2-3 L · H Reims 0-0 D · H Stade de Reims 0-0 D
Upcoming fixtures
-
Fri 30 Oct19:00in 4dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 9 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | E. Cömert | to Valencia | 2024-07-01 | |
| OUT | Marquinhos | to Arsenal | 2024-01-12 | |
| IN | E. Cömert | from Valencia | Loan | 2023-08-26 |
| IN | Marquinhos | from Arsenal | Loan | 2023-08-12 |
| IN | A. Kačaniklić | from Fulham | Free | 2016-07-01 |
| IN | M. Bagnack | from Barcelona | Free | 2016-01-30 |
| OUT | P. Djilobodji | to Chelsea | € 3.5M | 2015-09-01 |
| OUT | J. Veretout | to Aston Villa | 2015-07-31 | |
| OUT | Eric Daniel Djemba-Djemba | to Manchester United | 4M € | 2003-07-03 |
Team data: fresh · collected 14 h ago
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Frequently asked questions
When do Nantes play next?
Nantes's next fixture in the snapshot is Nantes v Clermont on Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 UK time (Ligue 2 - France).