SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Nantes
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Nantes

Ligue 2 - FranceStade de la Beaujoire
Next match Sochaux v Nantes Sat 12 Sept, 13:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Nantes — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
68.6
Strong
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.2%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
8th
of 17 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 12 Sept13:00 Sochaux crest Sochaux A — 2.20Betfair —

Form

last 5
WDLLL 4 pts from 5
H Nancy 1–0 +1.3
A Guingamp 3–3 —
H Rodez 2–5 -1.4
A Laval 1–2 -1.2
H RED Star FC 93 0–1 -1.6
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 5 matches 0 3 6
-1.9 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Clean sheets 1 #13 of 18
Goals conceded 2.2 #17 of 18
Points over model expectation -1.9 #16 of 17

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.4 #7 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 2.2 #17 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #13 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
25%
Scored before half time
of 4 goals
25%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 4 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 4 goals
50%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 4 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (8 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
L2F Ligue 2 - France 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Stade de la Beaujoire gazetteer
Recorded form WDLLLL last 12: 1.58 scored / 1.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 17% (40 results held)
H Nancy 1-0 W · A Guingamp 3-3 D · H Rodez 2-5 L · A Stade Lavallois 1-2 L · A Laval 1-2 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 12 Sept13:00in 16h 53m
    Sochaux crestSochaux Nantes crestNantes
    L2F
    Regular Season - 6
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 5 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT Marquinhos to Arsenal 2024-01-12
IN Marquinhos from Arsenal Loan 2023-08-12
IN A. Kačaniklić from Fulham Free 2016-07-01
OUT P. Djilobodji to Chelsea € 3.5M 2015-09-01
OUT Eric Daniel Djemba-Djemba to Manchester United 4M € 2003-07-03
Team data: fresh · collected 37 min ago

Explore

Ligue 2 - France Next: Sochaux v Nantes Search Nantes matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Nantes play next?
Nantes's next fixture in the snapshot is Sochaux v Nantes on Sat 12 Sept, 13:00 UK time (Ligue 2 - France).